Nate Silver

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9h
Reuters
Clinton won the debate. So what?Clinton delivered a pitch-perfect performance at the presidential debate on Mon
Clinton won the debate. So what?
Reuters / Posted 9 hours ago
Clinton delivered a pitch-perfect performance at the presidential debate on Monday night. That’s a 35 point spread. Nate Silver of 538 had the stats, as expected: “This was 3rd largest margin ever, after Romney-Obama I and Clinton-Bush 92... Read more
9h
Breitbart
An Exciting Debate? Maybe Next Time— but millennials who are actually registered to vote lean more to Trump.” Whe
An Exciting Debate? Maybe Next Time
Breitbart / Posted 9 hours ago
— but millennials who are actually registered to vote lean more to Trump.” When I pointed out to him that in a recent Nate Silver/538 post about DC Trump was up to 23 percent (Republican registration is only 7 percent of DC voters, and Romney... Read more
10h
Dallas Morning News
TV ratings show big viewership for first debate, polls give Clinton the edge | 2016 Presidential Electionpollsters caution against reading too much into figures immediately following d
TV ratings show big viewership for first debate, polls give Clinton the edge | 2016 Presidential Election
Dallas Morning News / Posted 10 hours ago
pollsters caution against reading too much into figures immediately following debates, an analysis from FiveThirtyEight’s Nate Silver shows that these instant polls do tend to correlate with subsequent changes in the election horse-race... Read more
11h
Mashable
CNN said Hillary won the debate. Why do so many polls seem to say otherwise?poll, on the other hand, claimed that 62% of voters claimed that Clinton won, c
CNN said Hillary won the debate. Why do so many polls seem to say otherwise?
Mashable / Posted 11 hours ago
poll, on the other hand, claimed that 62% of voters claimed that Clinton won, compared to just 27% for Trump. As Nate Silver over at FiveThirtyEightpointed out, that's the third widest margin in a CNN or Gallup post-debate taken since... Read more
12h
Rappler
Clinton boosted by debate as candidates rally supportpredictions from the political establishment, few can forecast for sure the imp
Clinton boosted by debate as candidates rally support
Rappler / Posted 12 hours ago
predictions from the political establishment, few can forecast for sure the impact on Americans' vote on November 8. Nate Silver, a respected election analyst at FiveThirtyEight.com, predicted a two to four percent bump in support for... Read more
1288 related stories
14h
Raw Story
Clinton trounced Trump in first presidential debate: CNN pollpredictions from the political establishment, few can forecast for sure the imp
Clinton trounced Trump in first presidential debate: CNN poll
Raw Story / Posted 14 hours ago
predictions from the political establishment, few can forecast for sure the impact on how America will vote on November 8. Nate Silver, a respected election analyst at FiveThirtyEight.com, predicted a two to four percent bump in support for... Read more
1288 related stories
1d
The Washington Times
Donald Trump, Hillary Clinton clash in chippy debate as policy takes back seatalso closed the gap in Pennsylvania, taken the lead in Ohio and is virtually ti
Donald Trump, Hillary Clinton clash in chippy debate as policy takes back seat
The Washington Times / Posted yesterday
also closed the gap in Pennsylvania, taken the lead in Ohio and is virtually tied in Florida — the three big swing states. Nate Silver, editor-in-chief of FiveThirtyEight, called the race a “dead heat,” with his latest forecast giving Mrs. Clinton... Read more
1d
Quartz
If the election were held today, Trump would likely beat Clintonif the US went to the polls today, at time of publishing. Oddly enough, the no
If the election were held today, Trump would likely beat Clinton
Quartz / Posted yesterday
if the US went to the polls today, at time of publishing. Oddly enough, the now-cast—which was built by stats oracle Nate Silver—has Hillary Clinton ahead of Trump in the popular vote—45.5% to 45.1%. However, Trump would still win the White... Read more
1d
KMGH 7 Denver
Trump has a 1 in 3 chance of winning and 5 other things with 33 percent oddsRepublican Party presidential nominee Donald Trump has had a positive week in t
Trump has a 1 in 3 chance of winning and 5 other things with 33 percent odds
KMGH 7 Denver / Posted yesterday
Republican Party presidential nominee Donald Trump has had a positive week in terms of public opinion. FiveThirtyEight’s Nate Silver tweeted out a slew of polls that show Trump’s chances of winning the White House rest somewhere around 34 and 33... Read more
6 related stories
1d
ABC Action News Tampa Bay
Trump has a 1 in 3 chance of winning and 5 other things with 33 percent oddsRepublican Party presidential nominee Donald Trump has had a positive week in t
Trump has a 1 in 3 chance of winning and 5 other things with 33 percent odds
ABC Action News Tampa Bay / Posted yesterday
Republican Party presidential nominee Donald Trump has had a positive week in terms of public opinion. FiveThirtyEight’s Nate Silver tweeted out a slew of polls that show Trump’s chances of winning the White House rest somewhere around 34 and 33... Read more
6 related stories
1d
KTNV Las Vegas
Trump has a 1 in 3 chance of winning and 5 other things with 33 percent oddsRepublican Party presidential nominee Donald Trump has had a positive week in t
Trump has a 1 in 3 chance of winning and 5 other things with 33 percent odds
KTNV Las Vegas / Posted yesterday
Republican Party presidential nominee Donald Trump has had a positive week in terms of public opinion. FiveThirtyEight’s Nate Silver tweeted out a slew of polls that show Trump’s chances of winning the White House rest somewhere around 34 and 33... Read more
6 related stories
1d
NBC26 Green Bay
Trump has a 1 in 3 chance of winning and 5 other things with 33 percent oddsRepublican Party presidential nominee Donald Trump has had a positive week in t
Trump has a 1 in 3 chance of winning and 5 other things with 33 percent odds
NBC26 Green Bay / Posted yesterday
Republican Party presidential nominee Donald Trump has had a positive week in terms of public opinion. FiveThirtyEight’s Nate Silver tweeted out a slew of polls that show Trump’s chances of winning the White House rest somewhere around 34 and 33... Read more
6 related stories
1d
KIVI Boise
Trump has a 1 in 3 chance of winning and 5 other things with 33 percent oddsRepublican Party presidential nominee Donald Trump has had a positive week in t
Trump has a 1 in 3 chance of winning and 5 other things with 33 percent odds
KIVI Boise / Posted yesterday
Republican Party presidential nominee Donald Trump has had a positive week in terms of public opinion. FiveThirtyEight’s Nate Silver tweeted out a slew of polls that show Trump’s chances of winning the White House rest somewhere around 34 and 33... Read more
6 related stories
1d
WRTV Indianapolis
Trump has a 1 in 3 chance of winning and 5 other things with 33 percent oddsRepublican Party presidential nominee Donald Trump has had a positive week in t
Trump has a 1 in 3 chance of winning and 5 other things with 33 percent odds
WRTV Indianapolis / Posted yesterday
Republican Party presidential nominee Donald Trump has had a positive week in terms of public opinion. FiveThirtyEight’s Nate Silver tweeted out a slew of polls that show Trump’s chances of winning the White House rest somewhere around 34 and 33... Read more
6 related stories
1d
KGTV San Diego
Trump has a 1 in 3 chance of winning and 5 other things with 33 percent oddsRepublican Party presidential nominee Donald Trump has had a positive week in t
Trump has a 1 in 3 chance of winning and 5 other things with 33 percent odds
KGTV San Diego / Posted yesterday
Republican Party presidential nominee Donald Trump has had a positive week in terms of public opinion. FiveThirtyEight’s Nate Silver tweeted out a slew of polls that show Trump’s chances of winning the White House rest somewhere around 34 and 33... Read more
6 related stories
1d
Fortune
The Top 3 Trump Scandals a Democratic Senate Will Investigatethe GOP to a Senate victory as well—it’s not out of the realm of possibility. I
The Top 3 Trump Scandals a Democratic Senate Will Investigate
Fortune / Posted yesterday
the GOP to a Senate victory as well—it’s not out of the realm of possibility. In fact, as of Monday morning, statistician Nate Silver gives Democrats a better chance, 52.2%, of winning the Senate than he does Hillary Clinton of winning the... Read more
1d
FOX News
Michael Goodwin: Why Trump Could Win It Allmany flaws might have hurt him, but Big Media’s hysterical designation of him a
Michael Goodwin: Why Trump Could Win It All
FOX News / Posted yesterday
many flaws might have hurt him, but Big Media’s hysterical designation of him as Public Enemy No. 1 is helping him. Nate Silver, the statistical guru who runs the FiveThirtyEight blog, now gives Trump a 42 percent chance of winning and is... Read more
1d
Charleston City Paper
Drink an Exit Strategy at YoBo Catina Fresca's debate party tonightStatistician Nate Silver tweeted this morning that presidential nominees Hillar
Drink an Exit Strategy at YoBo Catina Fresca's debate party tonight
Charleston City Paper / Posted yesterday
Statistician Nate Silver tweeted this morning that presidential nominees Hillary Clinton and Donald Trump are in a dead heat. If that makes you want to drink as much as it does us, you might want to head to YoBo Cantinta Fresca's debate party... Read more
1d
CNET
Ultra HD '4K' Blu-ray: Here's what we knowif a topic seems simple, and you need more than a sentence to explain why it's
Ultra HD '4K' Blu-ray: Here's what we know
CNET / Posted yesterday
if a topic seems simple, and you need more than a sentence to explain why it's wrong, you're done. (I cribbed this from a Nate Silver idea about political scandals.) Related Links So what happens is a large percentage of people will never even... Read more
3 related stories
1d
Newsweek
It's Hillary Clinton's election to lose“TRUMP +3 in Ohio, 538 says if he wins Ohio he’s got 67% odds to be PRESIDENT.”
It's Hillary Clinton's election to lose
Newsweek / Posted yesterday
“TRUMP +3 in Ohio, 538 says if he wins Ohio he’s got 67% odds to be PRESIDENT.” (FiveThirtyEight, the website edited by Nate Silver, is known for its prescient analysis of elections and takes its name from the total number of electoral votes.... Read more
2d
New Zealand's National Business Review
Where polls stand on the eve of the first US presidential debateJill Stein): The RealClearPolitics’ poll-of-polls has: Or with the third-part
Where polls stand on the eve of the first US presidential debate
New Zealand's National Business Review / Posted 2 days ago
Jill Stein): The RealClearPolitics’ poll-of-polls has: Or with the third-party candidates included: On FiveThirtyEight, Nate Silver – still widely regarded as a stats guru, despite muffing his Brexit prediction – gives the Democrat (as I type) a... Read more
3d
New York Post
Don’t count out Donald Trump just yetClinton’s decline, politically and physically, is so pronounced that it is resh
Don’t count out Donald Trump just yet
New York Post / Posted 3 days ago
Clinton’s decline, politically and physically, is so pronounced that it is reshaping voters’ expectations of the outcome. Nate Silver, the statistical guru who runs the FiveThirtyEight blog, now gives Trump a 48 percent chance of winning and is... Read more
4d
Roll Call
Another Way Trump Could Flunk the Electoral CollegeUntil recently, Nate Silver was every Democrat's favorite polling analyst, a st
Another Way Trump Could Flunk the Electoral College
Roll Call / Posted 4 days ago
Until recently, Nate Silver was every Democrat's favorite polling analyst, a statistical oracle hailed for the preternatural accuracy of his Barack Obama victory projections in 2008 and 2012. But lately, the God-like aura that once surrounded Silver... Read more
19 related stories
5d
The Spectator
Newsto give Brooks and Silver honorary degrees Political commentator David Books,
News
The Spectator / Posted 5 days ago
to give Brooks and Silver honorary degrees Political commentator David Books, and prominent statistician Nate Silver are among seven to be honored at the Amherst College commencement on May 25. Brooks is an analyst on PBS... Read more
5d
The Hill
The Hill's 12:30 Reportdemanding his presence. http://bit.ly/2dckrFC IMPORTANT READ FOR UNDERSTANDING
The Hill's 12:30 Report
The Hill / Posted 5 days ago
demanding his presence. http://bit.ly/2dckrFC IMPORTANT READ FOR UNDERSTANDING HOW TO READ POLLS: In FiveThirtyEight, Nate Silver explains how to read state polls vs. national polls. He compares the merits of a 50-state poll over 50 state... Read more
5d
The Jewish Press
US Jewish Donors Mostly Avoid Trump, Favor ClintonThe website FiveThirtyEight, whose Editor in Chief Nate Silver is possibly the
US Jewish Donors Mostly Avoid Trump, Favor Clinton
The Jewish Press / Posted 5 days ago
The website FiveThirtyEight, whose Editor in Chief Nate Silver is possibly the most trusted odds maker in North America, published a report Wednesday suggesting Republican presidential nominee Donald Trump is being abandoned by Jewish donors. To... Read more
6d
NBC Chicago
Campaign Round-Up: Schneider Ad Features Obama, Bidensite’s formula gave Duckworth a 76.8 percent chance of winning and gave the Rep
Campaign Round-Up: Schneider Ad Features Obama, Biden
NBC Chicago / Posted 6 days ago
site’s formula gave Duckworth a 76.8 percent chance of winning and gave the Republican incumbent a 23.2 percent chance. Nate Silver, FiveThirtyEight’s editor-in-chief, successfully predicted 49 of the 50 states in the 2008 presidential... Read more
6d
Newsmax
Nate Silver Gives Trump 44 Percent Chance of WinningNoted statistician Nate Silver gives Donald Trump a 44 percent chance of winnin
Nate Silver Gives Trump 44 Percent Chance of Winning
Newsmax / Posted 6 days ago
Noted statistician Nate Silver gives Donald Trump a 44 percent chance of winning the election. Silver, founder of FiveThirtyEight.com, has Trump losing the election by a hair, using his Polls-Plus Forecast that takes into account polls plus... Read more
6d
Business Insider
Donald Trump hits his highest point yet in Nate Silver's preferred election forecastNate Silver on Tuesday gave Donald Trump his best chances yet of winning the No
Donald Trump hits his highest point yet in Nate Silver's preferred election forecast
Business Insider / Posted 6 days ago
Nate Silver on Tuesday gave Donald Trump his best chances yet of winning the November election. Silver, the renowned statistician who runs the data-journalism website FiveThirtyEight, projected that Trump had a 44.5% chance of winning the presidency... Read more
6d
Breitbart
Polls Show Trump Leading in Nevada, North Carolina, and Maine Second DistrictCD2 covers the bulk of the state’s land area and is characterized as more rural
Polls Show Trump Leading in Nevada, North Carolina, and Maine Second District
Breitbart / Posted 6 days ago
CD2 covers the bulk of the state’s land area and is characterized as more rural, conservative, white, and older. Nate Silver of FiveThirtyEight attributes Trump’s strength in CD2 to “how well the Manhattan businessman’s message plays in... Read more
6d
Naked Capitalism
Linksforeign policy segments of their evening newscast ‘CIA talking points memo’, it
Links
Naked Capitalism / Posted 6 days ago
foreign policy segments of their evening newscast ‘CIA talking points memo’, it’s that bad. . @nntaleb. Taleb shows why Nate Silver is wearing no clothes, statistics-wise. Wells Fargo Calls for New York Times Retraction on CalPERS Guillotine... Read more
8d
Deseret News
Trump has a 1 in 3 chance of winning the White House. Here are 5 other things that have 1 in 3 oddsRepublican Party presidential nominee Donald Trump has had a positive week in t
Trump has a 1 in 3 chance of winning the White House. Here are 5 other things that have 1 in 3 odds
Deseret News / Posted 8 days ago
Republican Party presidential nominee Donald Trump has had a positive week in terms of public opinion. FiveThirtyEight’s Nate Silver tweeted out a slew of polls that show Trump’s chances of winning the White House rest somewhere around 34 and 33... Read more
8d
The New Yorker
A Presidential Predictor with a Perfect RecordWhether you’re a Nate Silver devotee who’s wholeheartedly with Her or you just
A Presidential Predictor with a Perfect Record
The New Yorker / Posted 8 days ago
Whether you’re a Nate Silver devotee who’s wholeheartedly with Her or you just poll your buddies while on vigilante border patrol, in the homestretch of this surreal election it’s hard not to compulsively check the latest projections of who will win.... Read more
11d
CNBC
Trump is doing everything right—including letting Jimmy Fallon mess up his hairwe're seeing that erode, Clinton may be trapped for good. Sure, the polls may
Trump is doing everything right—including letting Jimmy Fallon mess up his hair
CNBC / Posted 11 days ago
we're seeing that erode, Clinton may be trapped for good. Sure, the polls may fluctuate again and the polling experts like Nate Silver and Larry Sabato are not yet convinced of a Trump victory. But that seems likely to change soon. With every story... Read more
11d
The Columbus Dispatch
What John Kasich said about his meeting with President Obamavote early. In the polls: A spate of polls released this week has Trump up in
What John Kasich said about his meeting with President Obama
The Columbus Dispatch / Posted 11 days ago
vote early. In the polls: A spate of polls released this week has Trump up in Ohio over Clinton and now FiveThirtyEight’s Nate Silver has forecasts Trump has a 57 percent chance of winning Ohio. On the countdown: 53 days until the general... Read more
11d
Boston Herald
Media in a panic as Hillary Clinton is losing leadthey sip their brandies Alexander and write paeans to the glories of transgende
Media in a panic as Hillary Clinton is losing lead
Boston Herald / Posted 11 days ago
they sip their brandies Alexander and write paeans to the glories of transgender bathrooms, the pundits put their faith in Nate Silver, the poll aggregator who says the chances of Trump becoming president are still only 37 percent. Nate Silver is... Read more
12d
Philly.com
Byko: Republicans are racist? Sure, but so are Democratsyears ago, the respected fivethirtyeight website asked: "Are white Republicans
Byko: Republicans are racist? Sure, but so are Democrats
Philly.com / Posted 12 days ago
years ago, the respected fivethirtyeight website asked: "Are white Republicans more racist than white Democrats?" Authors Nate Silver and Allison McCann concede the data are not perfect in determining racism, but they found trends in the answers... Read more
12d
Australian Broadcasting Corporation
Hillary Clinton returns to tightening White House racethe race was tied among likely voters at 42 per cent each. Respected election
Hillary Clinton returns to tightening White House race
Australian Broadcasting Corporation / Posted 12 days ago
the race was tied among likely voters at 42 per cent each. Respected election analyst and FiveThirtyEight website editor Nate Silver reduced Mrs Clinton's chances of victory to 62.4 per cent, from her August 15 high of 78.3 per cent. Mrs Clinton... Read more
4 related stories
12d
The Hill
Polls darken for Democratsthan Obama’s showing against Republican Mitt Romney in 2012. But FiveThirtyEig
Polls darken for Democrats
The Hill / Posted 12 days ago
than Obama’s showing against Republican Mitt Romney in 2012. But FiveThirtyEight’s forecasting model, run by data guru Nate Silver, finds Clinton’s likelihood of victory has plummeted from nearly 90 percent in August to 61 percent. In the... Read more
12d
CNBC
These are the battleground states to keep an eye onnone of them will. And looking at sampling polls alone, even aggregating and av
These are the battleground states to keep an eye on
CNBC / Posted 12 days ago
none of them will. And looking at sampling polls alone, even aggregating and averaging several of them at one time like Nate Silver does, won't give us all the answers. This is especially true in this unique election. The latest Real Clear... Read more
12d
Newser
Nate Silver Says the Race Has Been Shifting Toward Trump for Weeks(Newser) – Nate Silver at FiveThirtyEight has gone over the latest polls and he
Nate Silver Says the Race Has Been Shifting Toward Trump for Weeks
Newser / Posted 12 days ago
(Newser) – Nate Silver at FiveThirtyEight has gone over the latest polls and he's not sure whether they are terrible news for Hillary Clinton or merely bad. One "scary result" for Clinton is a poll that shows Donald Trump with a 5-point lead in Ohio,... Read more
15d
Connecticut Post
The Strange Positive Effect Political Uncertainly Has on BitcoinAre you betting on a Trump victory this November? Las Vegas bookies would give
The Strange Positive Effect Political Uncertainly Has on Bitcoin
Connecticut Post / Posted 15 days ago
Are you betting on a Trump victory this November? Las Vegas bookies would give you 11/4 odds on that play. Nate Silver, of FiveThirtyEight fame, gives Trump a 13.5 percent chance of an election win. Most polls and political pundits appear to have... Read more
4 related stories
15d
Greenwich Time
The Strange Positive Effect Political Uncertainly Has on BitcoinAre you betting on a Trump victory this November? Las Vegas bookies would give
The Strange Positive Effect Political Uncertainly Has on Bitcoin
Greenwich Time / Posted 15 days ago
Are you betting on a Trump victory this November? Las Vegas bookies would give you 11/4 odds on that play. Nate Silver, of FiveThirtyEight fame, gives Trump a 13.5 percent chance of an election win. Most polls and political pundits appear to have... Read more
4 related stories
15d
The News-Times
The Strange Positive Effect Political Uncertainly Has on BitcoinAre you betting on a Trump victory this November? Las Vegas bookies would give
The Strange Positive Effect Political Uncertainly Has on Bitcoin
The News-Times / Posted 15 days ago
Are you betting on a Trump victory this November? Las Vegas bookies would give you 11/4 odds on that play. Nate Silver, of FiveThirtyEight fame, gives Trump a 13.5 percent chance of an election win. Most polls and political pundits appear to have... Read more
4 related stories
15d
FOX News
The Strange Positive Effect Political Uncertainly Has on BitcoinAre you betting on a Trump victory this November? Las Vegas bookies would give
The Strange Positive Effect Political Uncertainly Has on Bitcoin
FOX News / Posted 15 days ago
Are you betting on a Trump victory this November? Las Vegas bookies would give you 11/4 odds on that play. Nate Silver, of FiveThirtyEight fame, gives Trump a 13.5 percent chance of an election win. Most polls and political pundits appear to have... Read more
4 related stories
15d
The Hill
Nate Silver gives GOP donors a closed-door presentationNate Silver, the ESPN journalist behind the FiveThirtyEight website, gave a pre
Nate Silver gives GOP donors a closed-door presentation
The Hill / Posted 15 days ago
Nate Silver, the ESPN journalist behind the FiveThirtyEight website, gave a presentation on the 2016 battleground map to a group of powerful Republican donors in Manhattan last week. Silver was paid to give the presentation by the American... Read more
15d
Stamford Advocate
The Strange Positive Effect Political Uncertainly Has on BitcoinAre you betting on a Trump victory this November? Las Vegas bookies would give
The Strange Positive Effect Political Uncertainly Has on Bitcoin
Stamford Advocate / Posted 15 days ago
Are you betting on a Trump victory this November? Las Vegas bookies would give you 11/4 odds on that play. Nate Silver, of FiveThirtyEight fame, gives Trump a 13.5 percent chance of an election win. Most polls and political pundits appear to have... Read more
4 related stories
15d
Slate
“99 Red Balloons” Singer Nena on Trump, Her First U.S. Shows, and Recording a Karaoke Staplemy secret dream of Trump using “Luftballons” at a rally and the irony being los
“99 Red Balloons” Singer Nena on Trump, Her First U.S. Shows, and Recording a Karaoke Staple
Slate / Posted 15 days ago
my secret dream of Trump using “Luftballons” at a rally and the irony being lost on him.) But, friends, no matter what Nate Silver says, all is not lost. Nena has wise words for us in our time of crisis. “I believe in the power of human... Read more
16d
The News & Observer
Why Clinton’s perceived vs. Trump’s real corruption irks voters morepresident of the United States. It’s therefore not too surprising that she face
Why Clinton’s perceived vs. Trump’s real corruption irks voters more
The News & Observer / Posted 16 days ago
president of the United States. It’s therefore not too surprising that she faces the harsher media glare. FiveThirtyEight’s Nate Silver noted the cycle of candidates leading in the polls facing more negative stories, which then narrows the gap with... Read more
16d
Arkansas Democrat-Gazette
A comparison of candidate corruptionpresident of the United States. It's therefore not too surprising that she face
A comparison of candidate corruption
Arkansas Democrat-Gazette / Posted 16 days ago
president of the United States. It's therefore not too surprising that she faces the harsher media glare. FiveThirtyEight's Nate Silver noted the cycle of candidates leading in the polls facing more negative stories, which then narrows the gap with... Read more
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