Nate Silver

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2d
Houston Chronicle
What’s Wrong (or Right) About the LA Times Poll That Says Donald Trump Could Winare either too young to have voted four years ago or say they didn’t vote.” Fi
What’s Wrong (or Right) About the LA Times Poll That Says Donald Trump Could Win
Houston Chronicle / Posted 2 days ago
are either too young to have voted four years ago or say they didn’t vote.” FiveThirtyEight founder and editor-in-chief Nate Silver wrote Tuesday that the poll’s weighting based on 2012 voting is “probably a mistake, because people often... Read more
2d
KECI Missoula
Campaign manager points to 'undercover Trump vote' in polling gaplatest example in a long history of trailing candidates taking shots at unfavor
Campaign manager points to 'undercover Trump vote' in polling gap
KECI Missoula / Posted 2 days ago
latest example in a long history of trailing candidates taking shots at unfavorable polls. As founder of FiveThirtyEight Nate Silver pointed out on Twitter, 1984 Democratic nominee Walter Mondale also sought to discredit his poor polling by... Read more
16 related stories
2d
KRBC Abilene & KTAB Abilene
Campaign manager points to 'hidden Trump vote'latest example in a long history of trailing candidates taking shots at unfavor
Campaign manager points to 'hidden Trump vote'
KRBC Abilene & KTAB Abilene / Posted 2 days ago
latest example in a long history of trailing candidates taking shots at unfavorable polls. As founder of FiveThirtyEight Nate Silver pointed out on Twitter, 1984 Democratic nominee Walter Mondale also sought to discredit his poor polling by... Read more
16 related stories
2d
WJXT Jacksonville
Campaign manager points to 'undercover Trump vote' in polling gaplatest example in a long history of trailing candidates taking shots at unfavor
Campaign manager points to 'undercover Trump vote' in polling gap
WJXT Jacksonville / Posted 2 days ago
latest example in a long history of trailing candidates taking shots at unfavorable polls. As founder of FiveThirtyEight Nate Silver pointed out on Twitter, 1984 Democratic nominee Walter Mondale also sought to discredit his poor polling by... Read more
16 related stories
2d
KXLY-TV Spokane
Campaign manager points to 'hidden Trump vote'latest example in a long history of trailing candidates taking shots at unfavor
Campaign manager points to 'hidden Trump vote'
KXLY-TV Spokane / Posted 2 days ago
latest example in a long history of trailing candidates taking shots at unfavorable polls. As founder of FiveThirtyEight Nate Silver pointed out on Twitter, 1984 Democratic nominee Walter Mondale also sought to discredit his poor polling by... Read more
16 related stories
2d
KTVZ Bend
Campaign manager points to 'hidden Trump vote'latest example in a long history of trailing candidates taking shots at unfavor
Campaign manager points to 'hidden Trump vote'
KTVZ Bend / Posted 2 days ago
latest example in a long history of trailing candidates taking shots at unfavorable polls. As founder of FiveThirtyEight Nate Silver pointed out on Twitter, 1984 Democratic nominee Walter Mondale also sought to discredit his poor polling by... Read more
16 related stories
2d
WCYB 5 Tri-Cities
Campaign manager points to 'undercover Trump vote' in polling gaplatest example in a long history of trailing candidates taking shots at unfavor
Campaign manager points to 'undercover Trump vote' in polling gap
WCYB 5 Tri-Cities / Posted 2 days ago
latest example in a long history of trailing candidates taking shots at unfavorable polls. As founder of FiveThirtyEight Nate Silver pointed out on Twitter, 1984 Democratic nominee Walter Mondale also sought to discredit his poor polling by... Read more
16 related stories
2d
KRCR TV Redding
Campaign manager points to 'undercover Trump vote' in polling gaplatest example in a long history of trailing candidates taking shots at unfavor
Campaign manager points to 'undercover Trump vote' in polling gap
KRCR TV Redding / Posted 2 days ago
latest example in a long history of trailing candidates taking shots at unfavorable polls. As founder of FiveThirtyEight Nate Silver pointed out on Twitter, 1984 Democratic nominee Walter Mondale also sought to discredit his poor polling by... Read more
16 related stories
2d
News Channel 12 New Bern
Campaign manager points to 'undercover Trump vote' in polling gaplatest example in a long history of trailing candidates taking shots at unfavor
Campaign manager points to 'undercover Trump vote' in polling gap
News Channel 12 New Bern / Posted 2 days ago
latest example in a long history of trailing candidates taking shots at unfavorable polls. As founder of FiveThirtyEight Nate Silver pointed out on Twitter, 1984 Democratic nominee Walter Mondale also sought to discredit his poor polling by... Read more
16 related stories
2d
Local 6 Orlando
Campaign manager points to 'undercover Trump vote' in polling gaplatest example in a long history of trailing candidates taking shots at unfavor
Campaign manager points to 'undercover Trump vote' in polling gap
Local 6 Orlando / Posted 2 days ago
latest example in a long history of trailing candidates taking shots at unfavorable polls. As founder of FiveThirtyEight Nate Silver pointed out on Twitter, 1984 Democratic nominee Walter Mondale also sought to discredit his poor polling by... Read more
16 related stories
2d
ABC 7 El Paso
Campaign manager points to 'hidden Trump vote'latest example in a long history of trailing candidates taking shots at unfavor
Campaign manager points to 'hidden Trump vote'
ABC 7 El Paso / Posted 2 days ago
latest example in a long history of trailing candidates taking shots at unfavorable polls. As founder of FiveThirtyEight Nate Silver pointed out on Twitter, 1984 Democratic nominee Walter Mondale also sought to discredit his poor polling by... Read more
16 related stories
2d
Local 10 Miami
Campaign manager points to 'undercover Trump vote' in polling gaplatest example in a long history of trailing candidates taking shots at unfavor
Campaign manager points to 'undercover Trump vote' in polling gap
Local 10 Miami / Posted 2 days ago
latest example in a long history of trailing candidates taking shots at unfavorable polls. As founder of FiveThirtyEight Nate Silver pointed out on Twitter, 1984 Democratic nominee Walter Mondale also sought to discredit his poor polling by... Read more
16 related stories
2d
ClickOnDetroit
Campaign manager points to 'undercover Trump vote' in polling gaplatest example in a long history of trailing candidates taking shots at unfavor
Campaign manager points to 'undercover Trump vote' in polling gap
ClickOnDetroit / Posted 2 days ago
latest example in a long history of trailing candidates taking shots at unfavorable polls. As founder of FiveThirtyEight Nate Silver pointed out on Twitter, 1984 Democratic nominee Walter Mondale also sought to discredit his poor polling by... Read more
16 related stories
2d
KPRC Local 2 Houston
Campaign manager points to 'undercover Trump vote' in polling gaplatest example in a long history of trailing candidates taking shots at unfavor
Campaign manager points to 'undercover Trump vote' in polling gap
KPRC Local 2 Houston / Posted 2 days ago
latest example in a long history of trailing candidates taking shots at unfavorable polls. As founder of FiveThirtyEight Nate Silver pointed out on Twitter, 1984 Democratic nominee Walter Mondale also sought to discredit his poor polling by... Read more
16 related stories
2d
KTXS Abilene
Campaign manager points to 'undercover Trump vote' in polling gaplatest example in a long history of trailing candidates taking shots at unfavor
Campaign manager points to 'undercover Trump vote' in polling gap
KTXS Abilene / Posted 2 days ago
latest example in a long history of trailing candidates taking shots at unfavorable polls. As founder of FiveThirtyEight Nate Silver pointed out on Twitter, 1984 Democratic nominee Walter Mondale also sought to discredit his poor polling by... Read more
16 related stories
2d
KCBA FOX 35 Salinas
Campaign manager points to 'hidden Trump vote'latest example in a long history of trailing candidates taking shots at unfavor
Campaign manager points to 'hidden Trump vote'
KCBA FOX 35 Salinas / Posted 2 days ago
latest example in a long history of trailing candidates taking shots at unfavorable polls. As founder of FiveThirtyEight Nate Silver pointed out on Twitter, 1984 Democratic nominee Walter Mondale also sought to discredit his poor polling by... Read more
16 related stories
2d
WFMZ Eastern Pennsylvania and Western New Jersey
Campaign manager points to 'hidden Trump vote'latest example in a long history of trailing candidates taking shots at unfavor
Campaign manager points to 'hidden Trump vote'
WFMZ Eastern Pennsylvania and Western New Jersey / Posted 2 days ago
latest example in a long history of trailing candidates taking shots at unfavorable polls. As founder of FiveThirtyEight Nate Silver pointed out on Twitter, 1984 Democratic nominee Walter Mondale also sought to discredit his poor polling by... Read more
16 related stories
2d
4029TV KHBS - KHOG Fort Smith - Fayetteville
Campaign manager points to 'hidden Trump vote'latest example in a long history of trailing candidates taking shots at unfavor
Campaign manager points to 'hidden Trump vote'
4029TV KHBS - KHOG Fort Smith - Fayetteville / Posted 2 days ago
latest example in a long history of trailing candidates taking shots at unfavorable polls. As founder of FiveThirtyEight Nate Silver pointed out on Twitter, 1984 Democratic nominee Walter Mondale also sought to discredit his poor polling by... Read more
16 related stories
3d
Stamford Advocate
NATE SILVER: There's still a 15% chance that Donald Trump could be our next presidentDonald Trump and Hillary Clinton had about an even chance of getting elected pr
NATE SILVER: There's still a 15% chance that Donald Trump could be our next president
Stamford Advocate / Posted 3 days ago
Donald Trump and Hillary Clinton had about an even chance of getting elected president, according to political analyst Nate Silver at FiveThirtyEight. Since then, however, Trump has collapsed in the poll averages and betting markets, and... Read more
2 related stories
3d
Connecticut Post
NATE SILVER: There's still a 15% chance that Donald Trump could be our next presidentDonald Trump and Hillary Clinton had about an even chance of getting elected pr
NATE SILVER: There's still a 15% chance that Donald Trump could be our next president
Connecticut Post / Posted 3 days ago
Donald Trump and Hillary Clinton had about an even chance of getting elected president, according to political analyst Nate Silver at FiveThirtyEight. Since then, however, Trump has collapsed in the poll averages and betting markets, and... Read more
2 related stories
3d
San Francisco Chronicle
NATE SILVER: There's still a 15% chance that Donald Trump could be our next presidentDonald Trump and Hillary Clinton had about an even chance of getting elected pr
NATE SILVER: There's still a 15% chance that Donald Trump could be our next president
San Francisco Chronicle / Posted 3 days ago
Donald Trump and Hillary Clinton had about an even chance of getting elected president, according to political analyst Nate Silver at FiveThirtyEight. Since then, however, Trump has collapsed in the poll averages and betting markets, and... Read more
2 related stories
4d
Breitbart
Pat Caddell: If Clinton Is Elected, Her Pay-for-Play Operation Will ‘Make the Clinton Foundation Look Like Kid’s Play’the media show, like the one on CNN, which is such a joke – they went on, it’s
Pat Caddell: If Clinton Is Elected, Her Pay-for-Play Operation Will ‘Make the Clinton Foundation Look Like Kid’s Play’
Breitbart / Posted 4 days ago
the media show, like the one on CNN, which is such a joke – they went on, it’s like, ‘it’s over, right?’ Then they had Nate Silver on, a man who has been wrong all year long, he was on to explain how you should follow polls, and they were... Read more
4d
Newsmax
4 Reasons Not to Buy Bonds Nowfact, the whole phenomenon of “Clinton Republicans” is becoming a thing (like t
4 Reasons Not to Buy Bonds Now
Newsmax / Posted 4 days ago
fact, the whole phenomenon of “Clinton Republicans” is becoming a thing (like the Reagan Democrats 30 years ago). Unlike Nate Silver and Scott Adams, I am not going to make any predictions. (I am much better at predicting markets than politics;... Read more
5d
Boston Herald
Elizabeth Warren alters plan of attackindependents and Democrats,” Johnston said. The middle class is a key voting b
Elizabeth Warren alters plan of attack
Boston Herald / Posted 5 days ago
independents and Democrats,” Johnston said. The middle class is a key voting bloc for Trump. A study by noted statistician Nate Silver found the median household income of a Trump voter was about $72,000 during the primaries. Ford O’Connell, a GOP... Read more
5d
The Morning Call
Joe Pacitti: Standardized tests just one tool to measure student achievementacross the educational spectrum need to be involved in those accountability mea
Joe Pacitti: Standardized tests just one tool to measure student achievement
The Morning Call / Posted 5 days ago
across the educational spectrum need to be involved in those accountability measures. I defer to statistician Nate Silver for brevity: We need to locate the signal in the noise, because we deserve it. Joe Pacitti, an English teacher... Read more
5d
Arkansas Democrat-Gazette
The new narrativein Florida and Ohio and 11 in Pennsylvania and 13 in Virginia and five in North
The new narrative
Arkansas Democrat-Gazette / Posted 5 days ago
in Florida and Ohio and 11 in Pennsylvania and 13 in Virginia and five in North Carolina and 10 in Colorado. At midweek Nate Silver put her at an 88 percent chance to win. So Clinton is at her zenith and Trump is at his nadir. There's only one... Read more
5d
Salon.com
The return of the unskewed polls: Data denial is in full throttle at Fox Newsa second Obama term. It was comfort food, though entirely cosmetic and inaccura
The return of the unskewed polls: Data denial is in full throttle at Fox News
Salon.com / Posted 5 days ago
a second Obama term. It was comfort food, though entirely cosmetic and inaccurate. Contrarily, anyone who followed Nate Silver, the Anti-Chambers, retained a strong grasp on forecasting the outcome. At the end of the day, Nate Silver was... Read more
7d
Los Angeles Times
Saturday's TV Highlights and Weekend Talk: CBS's 'Rush Hour' on KCALPress; Charles Hurt, the Washington Times; Juan Williams. (N) 8 a.m. KTTV; 11 a
Saturday's TV Highlights and Weekend Talk: CBS's 'Rush Hour' on KCAL
Los Angeles Times / Posted 7 days ago
Press; Charles Hurt, the Washington Times; Juan Williams. (N) 8 a.m. KTTV; 11 a.m. and 3 p.m. FNC Reliable Sources Polls: Nate Silver, FiveThirtyEight. Trump hires Breitbart chairman: Kurt Bardella; Ken Stern. Access covering the Clinton campaign:... Read more
7d
Deseret News
BYU's attendance, national brand separate it from other Big 12 expansion candidatesfive states is 469,799. That number swells to 696,056 when including surroundin
BYU's attendance, national brand separate it from other Big 12 expansion candidates
Deseret News / Posted 7 days ago
five states is 469,799. That number swells to 696,056 when including surrounding Big 12 states. In 2011, statistics guru Nate Silver, who is editor-in-chief of ESPN’s FiveThirtyEight, gathered detailed information for The New York Times regarding... Read more
7d
The Atlantic
Democrats Are the New Conservativesascendant.” What’s odd about this is that while Democrats are more optimistic
Democrats Are the New Conservatives
The Atlantic / Posted 7 days ago
ascendant.” What’s odd about this is that while Democrats are more optimistic than Republicans, they’re also poorer. As Nate Silver has noted, the average Trump primary voter boasted a household income $11,000 higher than the average Clinton and... Read more
7d
Salon.com
Class dismissed: Is the Trump campaign driven by racism or economics? The only possible answer is botheconomic explanations? I first noticed the inclination to disprove political-e
Class dismissed: Is the Trump campaign driven by racism or economics? The only possible answer is both
Salon.com / Posted 7 days ago
economic explanations? I first noticed the inclination to disprove political-economic analysis of Trump in May, when Nate Silver cited a median household income among Trump supporters (who had voted in primaries at that point) of $72,000.... Read more
9d
Zero Hedge
New York Times' Dire Warning About Polling AccuracyPew’s response rate was 36 percent, and the decline has accelerated. By 2014 th
New York Times' Dire Warning About Polling Accuracy
Zero Hedge / Posted 9 days ago
Pew’s response rate was 36 percent, and the decline has accelerated. By 2014 the response rate had fallen to 8 percent. As Nate Silver of fivethirtyeight.com recently observed, “The problem is simple but daunting. The foundation of opinion research... Read more
10d
Namibia Economist
Donald Trump steps up his attack on the mediaassertion that the election will be “rigged”—surely has something to do with th
Donald Trump steps up his attack on the media
Namibia Economist / Posted 10 days ago
assertion that the election will be “rigged”—surely has something to do with the poor state of his presidential campaign (Nate Silver, prognosticator at FiveThirtyEight.com, gives him less than a 10% chance of winning—if the election were held... Read more
10d
International Business Times
123 Republicans sign open letter urging RNC to stop funding Donald Trump and offend millions of voters, including the disabled, women, Muslims, immigran
123 Republicans sign open letter urging RNC to stop funding Donald Trump
International Business Times / Posted 10 days ago
and offend millions of voters, including the disabled, women, Muslims, immigrants and minorities." It cites polling analyst Nate Silver, whose analysis gives Trump a 11% chance of winning the November election. "Trump's across-the-board collapse has... Read more
4 related stories
11d
OregonLive.com
Is 'lesser of two evils' an ethical choice for voters?large-scale dangers of a Trump presidency. This pressure is most intense in sta
Is 'lesser of two evils' an ethical choice for voters?
OregonLive.com / Posted 11 days ago
large-scale dangers of a Trump presidency. This pressure is most intense in states that rank relatively high on what Nate Silver describes as the "voter power index," like Nevada or Florida. But such arguments are also engendering a defiant... Read more
11d
Breitbart
Hillary Clinton Mirrors Richard Nixon in 1972, Donald Trump Mirrors Andrew JacksonMitt Romney was a “safe” nominee and even at his peak never had more than a 42
Hillary Clinton Mirrors Richard Nixon in 1972, Donald Trump Mirrors Andrew Jackson
Breitbart / Posted 11 days ago
Mitt Romney was a “safe” nominee and even at his peak never had more than a 42 percent chance of winning according to Nate Silver, and by Election Eve was given only a 9.1 percent chance of winning and projected 225 electoral votes – and he... Read more
11d
Namibia Economist
Donald Trump steps up his attack on the mediaassertion that the election will be “rigged”—surely has something to do with th
Donald Trump steps up his attack on the media
Namibia Economist / Posted 11 days ago
assertion that the election will be “rigged”—surely has something to do with the poor state of his presidential campaign (Nate Silver, prognosticator at FiveThirtyEight.com, gives him less than a 10% chance of winning—if the election were held... Read more
11d
Naked Capitalism
00PM Water Cooler4 points, about the margin by which Obama beat Mitt Romney in 2012 — a solid vi
00PM Water Cooler
Naked Capitalism / Posted 11 days ago
4 points, about the margin by which Obama beat Mitt Romney in 2012 — a solid victory but a long way from a landslide” [Nate Silver, FiveThirtyEight]. Of course, if you believe in a Clinton landslide, you also believe that people should be free... Read more
11d
The Atlantic
'Trumpism' and the Rift Between Belief and Truthand gender and even their age, since the American welfare state takes far bette
'Trumpism' and the Rift Between Belief and Truth
The Atlantic / Posted 11 days ago
and gender and even their age, since the American welfare state takes far better care of the elderly than of the young. As Nate Silver has noted, Trump supporters actually earn more than supporters of Bernie Sanders and Hillary Clinton. After... Read more
12d
Salon.com
Integrity in politics: Is the “lesser of two evils” an ethical choice for voters?large-scale dangers of a Trump presidency. This pressure is most intense in sta
Integrity in politics: Is the “lesser of two evils” an ethical choice for voters?
Salon.com / Posted 12 days ago
large-scale dangers of a Trump presidency. This pressure is most intense in states that rank relatively high on what Nate Silver describes as the “voter power index” like Nevada or Florida. But such arguments are also engendering a defiant... Read more
14d
Raw Story
A philosopher explains: Is the ‘lesser of two evils’ an ethical choice for voters?large-scale dangers of a Trump presidency. This pressure is most intense in sta
A philosopher explains: Is the ‘lesser of two evils’ an ethical choice for voters?
Raw Story / Posted 14 days ago
large-scale dangers of a Trump presidency. This pressure is most intense in states that rank relatively high on what Nate Silver describes as the “voter power index” like Nevada or Florida. But such arguments are also engendering a defiant... Read more
15d
Raw Story
Is the ‘lesser of two evils’ an ethical choice for voters?large-scale dangers of a Trump presidency. This pressure is most intense in sta
Is the ‘lesser of two evils’ an ethical choice for voters?
Raw Story / Posted 15 days ago
large-scale dangers of a Trump presidency. This pressure is most intense in states that rank relatively high on what Nate Silver describes as the “voter power index” like Nevada or Florida. But such arguments are also engendering a defiant... Read more
15d
Bleacher Report
2016 NBA Schedule Release: TV Info, Start Time, Date and MoreHis arrival doesn't automatically mean the Dubs are going to push toward anothe
2016 NBA Schedule Release: TV Info, Start Time, Date and More
Bleacher Report / Posted 15 days ago
His arrival doesn't automatically mean the Dubs are going to push toward another wins record, though. Kyle Wagner and Nate Silver of FiveThirtyEight estimated Golden State's record at 66-16 after signing Durant. It's a projection based on... Read more
16d
Canberra Times
Crushed in polls by Hillary Clinton, Trump talks of 'rigged election'has fashioned a noose and seems hell-bent on leaping off a platform – can't see
Crushed in polls by Hillary Clinton, Trump talks of 'rigged election'
Canberra Times / Posted 16 days ago
has fashioned a noose and seems hell-bent on leaping off a platform – can't seem to help himself." And at FiveThirtyEight, Nate Silver also is projecting a Clinton win – "by about four percentage points … meaning a margin more like Obama in 2012... Read more
4 related stories
16d
Brisbane Times
Crushed in polls by Hillary Clinton, Trump talks of 'rigged election'has fashioned a noose and seems hell-bent on leaping off a platform – can't see
Crushed in polls by Hillary Clinton, Trump talks of 'rigged election'
Brisbane Times / Posted 16 days ago
has fashioned a noose and seems hell-bent on leaping off a platform – can't seem to help himself." And at FiveThirtyEight, Nate Silver also is projecting a Clinton win – "by about four percentage points … meaning a margin more like Obama in 2012... Read more
4 related stories
16d
The Age
Crushed in polls by Hillary Clinton, Trump talks of 'rigged election'has fashioned a noose and seems hell-bent on leaping off a platform – can't see
Crushed in polls by Hillary Clinton, Trump talks of 'rigged election'
The Age / Posted 16 days ago
has fashioned a noose and seems hell-bent on leaping off a platform – can't seem to help himself." And at FiveThirtyEight, Nate Silver also is projecting a Clinton win – "by about four percentage points … meaning a margin more like Obama in 2012... Read more
4 related stories
16d
Sydney Morning Herald
Crushed in polls by Hillary Clinton, Trump talks of 'rigged election'has fashioned a noose and seems hell-bent on leaping off a platform – can't see
Crushed in polls by Hillary Clinton, Trump talks of 'rigged election'
Sydney Morning Herald / Posted 16 days ago
has fashioned a noose and seems hell-bent on leaping off a platform – can't seem to help himself." And at FiveThirtyEight, Nate Silver also is projecting a Clinton win – "by about four percentage points … meaning a margin more like Obama in 2012... Read more
4 related stories
16d
The New Zealand Herald
Nicola Lamb: Numbers tell worrying story for Trump(44-39), down from an 11% lead in July (47-36). Romney carried the state by 21%
Nicola Lamb: Numbers tell worrying story for Trump
The New Zealand Herald / Posted 16 days ago
(44-39), down from an 11% lead in July (47-36). Romney carried the state by 21%." What do the trends suggest overall? Nate Silver of fivethirtyeight.com explains that Clinton has "gone from having roughly a 3 or 4 percentage point lead over... Read more
62 related stories
16d
WA Today
Crushed in polls by Hillary Clinton, Trump talks of 'rigged election'has fashioned a noose and seems hell-bent on leaping off a platform – can't see
Crushed in polls by Hillary Clinton, Trump talks of 'rigged election'
WA Today / Posted 16 days ago
has fashioned a noose and seems hell-bent on leaping off a platform – can't seem to help himself." And at FiveThirtyEight, Nate Silver also is projecting a Clinton win – "by about four percentage points … meaning a margin more like Obama in 2012... Read more
4 related stories
16d
The New Zealand Herald
Nicola Lamb: Numbers tell worrying story for TrumpSUSA (44-39), down from an 11% lead in July (47-36). Romney carried the state b
Nicola Lamb: Numbers tell worrying story for Trump
The New Zealand Herald / Posted 16 days ago
SUSA (44-39), down from an 11% lead in July (47-36). Romney carried the state by 21%." What do the trends suggest overall? Nate Silver, of fivethirtyeight.com, explains Clinton has "gone from having roughly a 3 or 4 percentage point lead over Trump... Read more
62 related stories
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