Nate Silver

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1d
Darien News-Review
Darien student’s Elo ratings accurately predicting FCIAC basketballIt is safe to say this FCIAC boys basketball season is unlike any that has been
Darien student’s Elo ratings accurately predicting FCIAC basketball
Darien News-Review / Posted yesterday
It is safe to say this FCIAC boys basketball season is unlike any that has been seen in a long time. Westhill dominated the league last year, with teams like Norwalk, Ludlowe and Stamford at the top of the standings all season. The season before,... Read more
3 related stories
1d
Wired News
Twitter Beefs Are Now Front Page News in The Boston GlobeESPN is shutting down the much-loved sports and culture site Grantland. “After
Twitter Beefs Are Now Front Page News in The Boston Globe
Wired News / Posted yesterday
ESPN is shutting down the much-loved sports and culture site Grantland. “After careful consideration, we have decided to direct our time and energy going forward to projects that we believe will have a broader and more significant impact across our... Read more
1d
Salon.com
Marco Rubio can’t save the Republican Party: Why people are giving him way too much credit after IowaThe GOP presidential campaign has now shifted away from the heartland evangelic
Marco Rubio can’t save the Republican Party: Why people are giving him way too much credit after Iowa
Salon.com / Posted yesterday
The GOP presidential campaign has now shifted away from the heartland evangelical wonderland of Iowa to “live free or die” state, New Hampshire, where the elbows are notoriously sharp and a whole bunch of Republican establishment candidates are... Read more
3155 related stories
1d
Salon.com
This is why the Drudge Report poll matters: In a bad year for polls, this online vote keeps demonstrating Trump fervorMove over Nate Silver. There’s a new predictor in town, and his name is Matt Dr
This is why the Drudge Report poll matters: In a bad year for polls, this online vote keeps demonstrating Trump fervor
Salon.com / Posted yesterday
Move over Nate Silver. There’s a new predictor in town, and his name is Matt Drudge. Silver, the statistician extraordinaire who has quite a reputation for using hard data to accurately predict the winners of political campaigns, declared last year... Read more
2d
Wired News
New Media Titan The Huffington Post Will Soon UnionizeESPN is shutting down the much-loved sports and culture site Grantland. “After
New Media Titan The Huffington Post Will Soon Unionize
Wired News / Posted 2 days ago
ESPN is shutting down the much-loved sports and culture site Grantland. “After careful consideration, we have decided to direct our time and energy going forward to projects that we believe will have a broader and more significant impact across our... Read more
2d
Wired News
Museum openings, festivals, conferences, and more: Here's what WIRED Design's calendar in 2016It’s a new year, which means we have 366 days of fresh design ahead of us. Don’
Museum openings, festivals, conferences, and more: Here's what WIRED Design's calendar in 2016
Wired News / Posted 2 days ago
It’s a new year, which means we have 366 days of fresh design ahead of us. Don’t get us wrong, 2015 was great and all, but 2016 is looking very promising. We rounded up some of the design-world happenings—conferences, museum openings, giant... Read more
2d
Wired News
Inside the NFL’s Quest to Build a Truly Global LeagueThe NFL has made no secret of its desire to bring American football to a new in
Inside the NFL’s Quest to Build a Truly Global League
Wired News / Posted 2 days ago
The NFL has made no secret of its desire to bring American football to a new international stage. In fact, after holding regular season games at Wembley Stadium for eight consecutive years—as well as a new deal in place to continue these matches... Read more
3d
Daily Maverick
US 2016: Donald Trump loses his mojo on the Iowa prairieThis year’s Iowa caucus – the first actual voting in the process of electing a
US 2016: Donald Trump loses his mojo on the Iowa prairie
Daily Maverick / Posted 3 days ago
This year’s Iowa caucus – the first actual voting in the process of electing a president in the United States - has been a stunner in a campaign that had already been an extraordinary effort in all of the lead-up to this first test of voter... Read more
3155 related stories
3d
Junkee
America's Just One Big Pile Of Schadenfreude After Donald Trump Lost The Iowa CaucusAmerica’s Just One Big Pile Of Schadenfreude After Donald Trump Lost The Iowa C
America's Just One Big Pile Of Schadenfreude After Donald Trump Lost The Iowa Caucus
Junkee / Posted 3 days ago
America’s Just One Big Pile Of Schadenfreude After Donald Trump Lost The Iowa Caucus After ten months of relentless, exhausting campaigning, with hundreds of millions of dollars spent and dozens of candidates wrestling for the world’s highest... Read more
3d
Fast Company Magazine
Why The Pollsters Got It Wrong In Iowa (Hint: Voter-Targeting Data)Obviously, the pollsters got it wrong about Trump's chances of winning the Iowa
Why The Pollsters Got It Wrong In Iowa (Hint: Voter-Targeting Data)
Fast Company Magazine / Posted 3 days ago
Obviously, the pollsters got it wrong about Trump's chances of winning the Iowa caucuses Monday night. One key reason may be that they didn't account for the superiority of Ted Cruz's data-driven ground game over Trump's virtually non-existent... Read more
3155 related stories
3d
Market Watch
Why Donald Trump should stop believing his poll numbersSpeaking in Iowa, Donald Trump was — as usual — brimming with confidence. Sena
Why Donald Trump should stop believing his poll numbers
Market Watch / Posted 3 days ago
Speaking in Iowa, Donald Trump was — as usual — brimming with confidence. Senator Ted Cruz secured 27.6% of the votes on Monday night, followed by Donald Trump (24.3%, despite a polling average of 28.6%) and Senator Marco Rubio (23.1%). Trump, more... Read more
3d
New York Magazine
Will Donald Trump Deflate Like a Big Fat Balloon After Losing in Iowa?Is that a hissing sound? Photo: Scott Olson/Getty Images Both Ted Cruz and Mar
Will Donald Trump Deflate Like a Big Fat Balloon After Losing in Iowa?
New York Magazine / Posted 3 days ago
Is that a hissing sound? Photo: Scott Olson/Getty Images Both Ted Cruz and Marco Rubio can leave Iowa declaring a victory, which isn't the case for Donald Trump, despite his consistent lead in the Iowa polls leading up to Monday's caucus. What are... Read more
32 related stories
3d
Arkansas Times
Polling wonks on Iowa resultsOn the Republican side, Donald Trump and Ted Cruz switched places relative to p
Polling wonks on Iowa results
Arkansas Times / Posted 3 days ago
On the Republican side, Donald Trump and Ted Cruz switched places relative to polls. To compare the final polls with tonight’s counts, Trump underperformed by 26.5-24.3=2.2%, Cruz overperformed by 27.7-23.5=4.2%, and Rubio overperformed by... Read more
4d
Orange County Register
White House race off to robust startHad we taken at face value the Iowa poll released “just hours before caucusing”
White House race off to robust start
Orange County Register / Posted 4 days ago
Had we taken at face value the Iowa poll released “just hours before caucusing” began, according to CNN, we just might have been persuaded that Donald Trump actually was ahead of Texas Sen. Ted Cruz and that Bernie Sanders actually enjoyed a “very... Read more
132 related stories
4d
Yahoo News
NATE SILVER: Here's who's favored to win the Iowa caucuses The polling gurus at Nate Silver's FiveThirtyEight have been tracking the odd
NATE SILVER: Here's who's favored to win the Iowa caucuses
Yahoo News / Posted 4 days ago
The polling gurus at Nate Silver's FiveThirtyEight have been tracking the odds of different candidates winning in the early primary and caucus races. FiveThirtyEight provides two... Read more
3 related stories
4d
The Globe and Mail
Five questions you probably have about tonight’s Iowa caucusesPOLITICS BRIEFING > What can you tell me about Iowa? It’s a small state in th
Five questions you probably have about tonight’s Iowa caucuses
The Globe and Mail / Posted 4 days ago
POLITICS BRIEFING > What can you tell me about Iowa? It’s a small state in the American Midwest just west of Illinois, and contains about three million people, or 1 per cent of the total U.S. population. Demographically, it’s more white, more rural... Read more
5d
Newser
The GOP Has 4 Road Out of Iowa, Nate Silver SaysNate Silver: GOP Has 4 Roads Out of Iowa Read Less, Know More on Facebook and
The GOP Has 4 Road Out of Iowa, Nate Silver Says
Newser / Posted 5 days ago
Nate Silver: GOP Has 4 Roads Out of Iowa Read Less, Know More on Facebook and Twitter Get the 8@8: The eight stories you need to know, bright and early. Nate Silver: GOP Has 4 Roads Out of Iowa The biggest surprise would be something... Read more
327 related stories
5d
The Telegraph
Every Donald has his dayWhat Narendra Modi thinks today, Donald Trump thinks tomorrow. On September 28,
Every Donald has his day
The Telegraph / Posted 5 days ago
What Narendra Modi thinks today, Donald Trump thinks tomorrow. On September 28, 2014, addressing the Indian diaspora in Manhattan's Madison Square Garden, the newly minted Prime Minister was savage in his demolition of political punditry back... Read more
5d
Daily Maverick
2016 US presidential election: Understanding the gameThere are, of course, many ways to think about an American election. One can go
2016 US presidential election: Understanding the game
Daily Maverick / Posted 5 days ago
There are, of course, many ways to think about an American election. One can go with the kind of optimism about the process that argues it is a harsh, unforgiving Darwinian process that winnows out the weaker candidates, until it ultimately leaves... Read more
7d
The San Angelo Standard-Times
As Iowa vote nears, races get closerWASHINGTON — After months of campaigning, Iowans will finally cast the first vo
As Iowa vote nears, races get closer
The San Angelo Standard-Times / Posted 7 days ago
WASHINGTON — After months of campaigning, Iowans will finally cast the first votes of the 2016 presidential race Monday. Political junkies and casual observers alike want to know who will win. From poll aggregations and betting markets to Google... Read more
132 related stories
7d
New York Magazine
Iowa and New Hampshire Are As Good As It Gets for Bernie SandersYou don't have to be white and liberal to support Bernie Sanders, but it is a t
Iowa and New Hampshire Are As Good As It Gets for Bernie Sanders
New York Magazine / Posted 7 days ago
You don't have to be white and liberal to support Bernie Sanders, but it is a thing. Photo: T.J. Kirkpatrick/Bloomberg via Getty Images It's become something of a truism that Bernie Sanders has his strongest appeal among white and ideologically... Read more
9d
Market Watch
Bernie Sanders’s political revolution faces its first electoral testWASHINGTON (MarketWatch) — It’s lonely at the top of a political revolution. B
Bernie Sanders’s political revolution faces its first electoral test
Market Watch / Posted 9 days ago
WASHINGTON (MarketWatch) — It’s lonely at the top of a political revolution. Bernie Sanders is pinning his hopes for the Democratic nomination on a direct appeal to voters to cast aside the cadre of establishment politicians and take a chance on... Read more
9d
FOX News
News flash: GOP establishment still freaking that Trump or Cruz may winThe panic stories are starting again. Isn’t this the 20th or 30th time I’ve re
News flash: GOP establishment still freaking that Trump or Cruz may win
FOX News / Posted 9 days ago
The panic stories are starting again. Isn’t this the 20th or 30th time I’ve read a piece saying the GOP establishment is freaking out over Trump? True, the story line has broadened a bit in recent weeks to say the party poohbahs are alarmed that... Read more
10d
The Washington Times
Ted Cruz Iowa events shadowed by pro-ethanol WinnebagoALBIA, Iowa | Wherever Ted Cruz appears on the campaign trail in the last frant
Ted Cruz Iowa events shadowed by pro-ethanol Winnebago
The Washington Times / Posted 10 days ago
ALBIA, Iowa | Wherever Ted Cruz appears on the campaign trail in the last frantic days before the Iowa caucuses, chances are a colorful Winnebago is in hot pursuit. As the Texas senator spoke to several hundred voters here Tuesday at Bogie’s... Read more
10d
CNET
7 Twitter accounts you should follow for the Super BowlTwitter will be buzzing during the Super Bowl. (Above: Carolina Panthers Quarte
7 Twitter accounts you should follow for the Super Bowl
CNET / Posted 10 days ago
Twitter will be buzzing during the Super Bowl. (Above: Carolina Panthers Quarterback Can Newton) There are a few things nearly every Super Bowl party in America will likely have: a TV, chips and some sort of dip, and lots and lots of phones. Since... Read more
11d
Chicago Tribune
The Republicans who hate Ted Cruz but tolerate Donald TrumpThe biggest fuss in Republican presidential politics now seems to be why, or pe
The Republicans who hate Ted Cruz but tolerate Donald Trump
Chicago Tribune / Posted 11 days ago
The biggest fuss in Republican presidential politics now seems to be why, or perhaps whether, some party actors have concluded that even though billionaire Donald Trump would be a bad nominee, he's still better than Texas Sen. Ted Cruz. The group... Read more
11d
The Daily Mining Gazette
Republicans more Hemlock Society than political partyIf today's Republican Party were organized, if its storied "establishment" were
Republicans more Hemlock Society than political party
The Daily Mining Gazette / Posted 11 days ago
If today's Republican Party were organized, if its storied "establishment" were even a shadow of the leviathan its detractors claim, the world would look very different. Republican Party leaders would long since have organized an advertising campaign... Read more
11d
Slate
Nate Silver Said Donald Trump Had No Shot. Where Did He Go Wrong?Who's winning, who's losing, and why. For the past six months, one big questio
Nate Silver Said Donald Trump Had No Shot. Where Did He Go Wrong?
Slate / Posted 11 days ago
Who's winning, who's losing, and why. For the past six months, one big question has loomed over the 2016 election: Is the candidacy of Donald J. Trump an amusing bit of reality TV or a terrifying and dangerous challenge to the country’s political... Read more
11d
Miami New Times
Donald Trump Is Annihilating Jeb Bush in FloridaBut even the most cynical Jeb hater had to do a double-take at the latest battl
Donald Trump Is Annihilating Jeb Bush in Florida
Miami New Times / Posted 11 days ago
But even the most cynical Jeb hater had to do a double-take at the latest battleground polling out from CBS News and YouGov. Just look at these results: That's right: If CBS and YouGov's numbers are even close to accurate, Trump is laying an unholy... Read more
2 related stories
11d
Miami New Times
Donald Trump Is Absolutely Annihilating Jeb Bush In FloridaBut even the most cynical Jeb hater had to do a double-take at the latest battl
Donald Trump Is Absolutely Annihilating Jeb Bush In Florida
Miami New Times / Posted 11 days ago
But even the most cynical Jeb hater had to do a double-take at the latest battleground polling out from CBS News and YouGov. Just look at these results for yourself: That's right: If CBS and Yougov's numbers are even close to accurate, Trump is... Read more
2 related stories
11d
CNET
Are TV extended warranties worth it?An extended warranty is one of those common end-of-sale add-ons almost everyone
Are TV extended warranties worth it?
CNET / Posted 11 days ago
An extended warranty is one of those common end-of-sale add-ons almost everyone is familiar with. Extnd your TV's warranty for a small fee, in case anything goes wrong. At first this seems like a decent idea. After all, TVs are expensive, very... Read more
13d
Daily Journal
Rubio claims momentum from 'Register' endorsement, others skepticalMarco Rubio campaigning Saturday in Iowa. (Photo: AP) Marco Rubio's team claim
Rubio claims momentum from 'Register' endorsement, others skeptical
Daily Journal / Posted 13 days ago
Marco Rubio campaigning Saturday in Iowa. (Photo: AP) Marco Rubio's team claimed movement in Iowa following his endorsement Saturday by TheDes Moines Register. "Marco's optimistic message for a new American Century is connecting with more Iowans... Read more
35 related stories
13d
Elmira Star-Gazette
Rubio claims momentum from 'Register' endorsement, others skepticalMarco Rubio campaigning Saturday in Iowa. (Photo: AP) Marco Rubio's team claim
Rubio claims momentum from 'Register' endorsement, others skeptical
Elmira Star-Gazette / Posted 13 days ago
Marco Rubio campaigning Saturday in Iowa. (Photo: AP) Marco Rubio's team claimed movement in Iowa following his endorsement Saturday by TheDes Moines Register. "Marco's optimistic message for a new American Century is connecting with more Iowans... Read more
35 related stories
13d
York Daily Record
Rubio claims momentum from 'Register' endorsement, others skepticalMarco Rubio campaigning Saturday in Iowa. (Photo: AP) Marco Rubio's team claim
Rubio claims momentum from 'Register' endorsement, others skeptical
York Daily Record / Posted 13 days ago
Marco Rubio campaigning Saturday in Iowa. (Photo: AP) Marco Rubio's team claimed movement in Iowa following his endorsement Saturday by TheDes Moines Register. "Marco's optimistic message for a new American Century is connecting with more Iowans... Read more
35 related stories
13d
WKYC Cleveland
Rubio claims momentum from 'Register' endorsement, others skepticalMarco Rubio's team claimed movement in Iowa following his endorsement Saturday
Rubio claims momentum from 'Register' endorsement, others skeptical
WKYC Cleveland / Posted 13 days ago
Marco Rubio's team claimed movement in Iowa following his endorsement Saturday by TheDes Moines Register. "Marco's optimistic message for a new American Century is connecting with more Iowans every day," said Rubio spokesman Alex Conant. "We'll be... Read more
35 related stories
15d
Quartz
2016 will bring a world of worry in Saudi Arabia, and not much calm elsewhere, either - Quartz THE QUARTZ FORECAST Over the last couple of years, chaos and...
2016 will bring a world of worry in Saudi Arabia, and not much calm elsewhere, either
Quartz / Posted 15 days ago
- Quartz THE QUARTZ FORECAST Over the last couple of years, chaos and... Read more
16d
Orlando Sentinel
Sarah Palin just endorsed Donald Trump. But does it matter?Donald Trump has released a statement announcing Sarah Palin's endorsement: "I
Sarah Palin just endorsed Donald Trump. But does it matter?
Orlando Sentinel / Posted 16 days ago
Donald Trump has released a statement announcing Sarah Palin's endorsement: "I am greatly honored to receive Sarah's endorsement. She is a friend, and a high quality person whom I have great respect for. I am proud to have her support." Late Monday... Read more
507 related stories
16d
Chicago Tribune
U.S. presidential elections are a sportTo an outsider, the biggest question of the 2016 U.S. presidential election may
U.S. presidential elections are a sport
Chicago Tribune / Posted 16 days ago
To an outsider, the biggest question of the 2016 U.S. presidential election may be how the country came to be stuck with such an imperfect field of candidates. Higher percentages of potential voters view the front-runners, Hillary Clinton and Donald... Read more
17d
Chicago Tribune
Sarah Palin just endorsed Donald Trump. But does it matter?Donald Trump has released a statement announcing Sarah Palin's endorsement: "I
Sarah Palin just endorsed Donald Trump. But does it matter?
Chicago Tribune / Posted 17 days ago
Donald Trump has released a statement announcing Sarah Palin's endorsement: "I am greatly honored to receive Sarah's endorsement. She is a friend, and a high quality person whom I have great respect for. I am proud to have her support." Late Monday... Read more
507 related stories
17d
Chicago Tribune
The dark undercurrent for Hillary Clinton in Sunday's Democratic debateIt seems pretty likely that a lot of people flipped on their televisions Sunday
The dark undercurrent for Hillary Clinton in Sunday's Democratic debate
Chicago Tribune / Posted 17 days ago
It seems pretty likely that a lot of people flipped on their televisions Sunday night to watch the Democrats debate. Not first-Republican-debate numbers, but a lot of people. (As FiveThirtyEight's Nate Silver pointed out on Twitter, Sunday evenings... Read more
18d
Arkansas Times
The King Day open lineBig Fun - don't forget the server's gratuity. And staffing a kitchen for that m
The King Day open line
Arkansas Times / Posted 18 days ago
Big Fun - don't forget the server's gratuity. And staffing a kitchen for that menu… Nate Silver: Donald Trump Is Really Unpopular With General Election Voters "Contra Rupert Murdoch’s assertion… Lets face it the "Good Ole Boy System" is alive and... Read more
19d
The Courier Mail
Some useful websites out of a billion SELECTION OF GREAT WEBSITES AND BLOGS: NEWS: Ezra Klein set up his Vox websi
Some useful websites out of a billion
The Courier Mail / Posted 19 days ago
SELECTION OF GREAT WEBSITES AND BLOGS: NEWS: Ezra Klein set up his Vox website in 2014, but this year looks set to be the most exciting phase for the site, which aims at explaining the news. Vox uses... Read more
20d
Op-Ed News
Bernie Sanders is winning with the one group his rivals can't sway: votersClinton, meanwhile, has sounded more like the Republican candidates with her co
Bernie Sanders is winning with the one group his rivals can't sway: voters
Op-Ed News / Posted 20 days ago
Clinton, meanwhile, has sounded more like the Republican candidates with her conventional forever war posture, her defense of the disastrous Libya intervention and her calls for an escalation of the war in Syria. Apparently she's not concerned that... Read more
21d
Greencastle Banner-Graphic
Numbers and BlundersPosted Friday, January 15, 2016, at 8:12 PM Take it from someone who knows: St
Numbers and Blunders
Greencastle Banner-Graphic / Posted 21 days ago
Posted Friday, January 15, 2016, at 8:12 PM Take it from someone who knows: Statistics are a girl's best friend. With the power of numbers, one can prove a point, inform an ideology or just feel all-powerful in general. As I was... Read more
24d
Orange County Register
Angels, Dodgers are projected to get worse in 2016 by FanGraphs.comFanGraphs.com released its projections for the 2016 MLB season Tuesday, and, ba
Angels, Dodgers are projected to get worse in 2016 by FanGraphs.com
Orange County Register / Posted 24 days ago
FanGraphs.com released its projections for the 2016 MLB season Tuesday, and, bad news, both the Dodgers and Angels are projected to be worse than in 2015. The 2016 Dodgers are projected to go 90-72, and the 2016 Angels are projected to be 81-81. The... Read more
24d
Los Angeles Times
How the Powerball rules were tweaked to make the game an even bigger ripoffNewspapers, online sites, and TV broadcasts are brimming with reports of massiv
How the Powerball rules were tweaked to make the game an even bigger ripoff
Los Angeles Times / Posted 24 days ago
Newspapers, online sites, and TV broadcasts are brimming with reports of massive sales and hopeful players -- The Times website, latimes.com, has run 18 posts about the lottery just since Jan. 10, when the last drawing failed to produce a winner and... Read more
25 related stories
25d
Chicago Tribune
2016 guide: 6 shows to watch for in Chicago fringe theaterSure, there are big names coming home at big theaters in 2016 — we're as excite
2016 guide: 6 shows to watch for in Chicago fringe theater
Chicago Tribune / Posted 25 days ago
Sure, there are big names coming home at big theaters in 2016 — we're as excited to see Tracy Letts' "Mary Page Marlowe" this spring at Steppenwolf Theatre as everyone else. But there's always a feast of possibilities "on the fringe." Here are some... Read more
25d
DMNews
Marketing Inspiration, by the BookSettling in a comfy chair with a good book; it's not only a great way to relax,
Marketing Inspiration, by the Book
DMNews / Posted 25 days ago
Settling in a comfy chair with a good book; it's not only a great way to relax, it's an enjoyable way to recharge, learn, and get inspired. We asked the Direct Marketing News2015 40 Under 40 winners to share a favorite book that's made a difference... Read more
25d
The Atlantic
Fixing the 60-Year-Old Questions Pollsters Use to Figure Out If You'll VoteA month before the 2000 presidential election, George W. Bush benefited from a
Fixing the 60-Year-Old Questions Pollsters Use to Figure Out If You'll Vote
The Atlantic / Posted 25 days ago
A month before the 2000 presidential election, George W. Bush benefited from a statistical miracle. He started October trailing opponent Al Gore, with a CNN/USA Today/Gallup poll projecting a 51-40 split among likely voters. Then came the first... Read more
25d
SiliconIndia
The Increasing Buzz of Big Data, Machine Learning or Predictive AnalyticsToday, you can't attend an IT conference without hearing about Big Data, Machin
The Increasing Buzz of Big Data, Machine Learning or Predictive Analytics
SiliconIndia / Posted 25 days ago
Today, you can't attend an IT conference without hearing about Big Data, Machine Learning or Predictive Analytics. You open a trade magazine and you will see at least one or two articles about Big Data. Your CEO may be asking you about your Big Data... Read more
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