Nate Silver

Latest stories

1d
Salon.com
Trump and Brexit: Right-wing populism of the two is rooted more in base nationalism than in economic insecuritymistaking the cargo shorts-and-baseball-caps aesthetic of his followers for act
Trump and Brexit: Right-wing populism of the two is rooted more in base nationalism than in economic insecurity
Salon.com / Posted yesterday
mistaking the cargo shorts-and-baseball-caps aesthetic of his followers for actual working class status. In reality, as Nate Silver at FiveThirtyEight showed, “As compared with most Americans, Trump’s voters are better off.” Not by a small... Read more
2d
The Atlantic
The Republican Party’s White StrategyRepublicans are embracing Trump’s anti-immigration message primarily because of
The Republican Party’s White Strategy
The Atlantic / Posted 2 days ago
Republicans are embracing Trump’s anti-immigration message primarily because of economic hardship. As the data journalist Nate Silver has pointed out, Trump supporters earn more than supporters of Hillary Clinton or Bernie Sanders. Yet Clinton and... Read more
4d
examiner.com
Gary Johnson averaging 9% in polls against Hillary Clinton and Donald Trumplargest group in the electorate, as compared to 26 percent conservative, 23 per
Gary Johnson averaging 9% in polls against Hillary Clinton and Donald Trump
examiner.com / Posted 4 days ago
largest group in the electorate, as compared to 26 percent conservative, 23 percent liberal, and 15 percent populist. As Nate Silver wrote last year, there are more Americans who are Libertarian than most may believe. As Silver points out in his... Read more
5d
The Hill
Media winners and losers of the 2016 primariesKornacki, MSNBC political correspondent Every political cycle has its break-ou
Media winners and losers of the 2016 primaries
The Hill / Posted 5 days ago
Kornacki, MSNBC political correspondent Every political cycle has its break-out “nerd” star. In 2012, it was Nate Silver and this year it is Kornacki, the MSNBC host who appears all over the network’s programming — always armed with... Read more
8d
examiner.com
Donald Trump has a horrible week with polls, gives Clinton big leadthey evaluated. In 2012 Rasmussen was one of the least accurate pollsters and s
Donald Trump has a horrible week with polls, gives Clinton big lead
examiner.com / Posted 8 days ago
they evaluated. In 2012 Rasmussen was one of the least accurate pollsters and showed a Republican bias of 3.7 points. Nate Silver gives Rasmussen a C rating in his most recent pollster grades. Poll of 1323 registered voters taken from... Read more
10d
Bleacher Report
NHL Reportedly Chooses Las Vegas for Expansion Over Quebec Cityleague to have a team in Las Vegas, which could potentially open the door for o
NHL Reportedly Chooses Las Vegas for Expansion Over Quebec City
Bleacher Report / Posted 10 days ago
league to have a team in Las Vegas, which could potentially open the door for others, such as the NFL's Oakland Raiders. Nate Silver of ESPN's FiveThirtyEight remains unsure of Las Vegas' viability as far as the NHL is concerned, however: Still... Read more
137 related stories
15d
New York Magazine
For Decades, Donald Trump Allegedly Didn’t Pay His Billswho are middle-class in theory but who have experienced increasing financial pr
For Decades, Donald Trump Allegedly Didn’t Pay His Bills
New York Magazine / Posted 15 days ago
who are middle-class in theory but who have experienced increasing financial pressure and desperation in recent decades (as Nate Silver pointed out, the idea that Trump is driven primarily by working-class supporters is largely a “myth”). These... Read more
16d
examiner.com
Hillary Clinton's lead over Donald Trump shrinks in most recent national pollsthey evaluated. In 2012 Rasmussen was one of the least accurate pollsters and s
Hillary Clinton's lead over Donald Trump shrinks in most recent national polls
examiner.com / Posted 16 days ago
they evaluated. In 2012 Rasmussen was one of the least accurate pollsters and showed a Republican bias of 3.7 points. Nate Silver gives Rasmussen a C rating in his most recent pollster grades. Poll 1561 registered voters taken from 05/24/2016... Read more
17d
FSView
Hillary Clinton's new responsiblity is to unite Americais the candidate that more Americans have voted for. She leads Sanders in the p
Hillary Clinton's new responsiblity is to unite America
FSView / Posted 17 days ago
is the candidate that more Americans have voted for. She leads Sanders in the popular vote 12, 989, 134 to 9,957,889. From Nate Silver of FiveThiryEight: There are not many plausible arrangements under which Sanders would have become the... Read more
3556 related stories
18d
KVUE-TV Austin
Veepstakes set to begin for both candidatesPaul Ryan only to lose the Badger State to President Barack Obama in the genera
Veepstakes set to begin for both candidates
KVUE-TV Austin / Posted 18 days ago
Paul Ryan only to lose the Badger State to President Barack Obama in the general election. Overall, since 1920, ESPN’s Nate Silver found that vice-presidential nominees that are current governors or senators produce a slightly larger overall... Read more
18d
The Atlantic
Is the Democratic Race Really Over?the commitments of more superdelegates than he has. (More on that in a bit.) Sh
Is the Democratic Race Really Over?
The Atlantic / Posted 18 days ago
the commitments of more superdelegates than he has. (More on that in a bit.) She’s won more state contests than he has. As Nate Silver points out, Clinton won the strictly Democratic vote in all but three primaries and caucuses, while Sanders won... Read more
3556 related stories
19d
The Irish Times
Chris Horn: Predictions using big data a hot theme for the tech sectorduring the Great Depression. Big data is not always good data. Political data
Chris Horn: Predictions using big data a hot theme for the tech sector
The Irish Times / Posted 19 days ago
during the Great Depression. Big data is not always good data. Political data scientists today are increasingly accurate. Nate Silver, a US baseball league analyst, successfully predicted the outcome in each of the 50 US states during the last... Read more
22d
New York Magazine
Hillary Clinton Should Be Very Worried About This Lousy Jobs Reportthe economy in the year of the election rather than the absolute state of the e
Hillary Clinton Should Be Very Worried About This Lousy Jobs Report
New York Magazine / Posted 22 days ago
the economy in the year of the election rather than the absolute state of the economy itself. You can see it in this great Nate Silver excavation of the relationship between the economy and voting patterns. Indicators including the change in... Read more
22d
Salon.com
Birtherism and bigotry: These are the vile impulses driving voters to Trump — stop thinking it’s anything elsethe future,” I suspect those people would be grateful for any help they can ge
Birtherism and bigotry: These are the vile impulses driving voters to Trump — stop thinking it’s anything else
Salon.com / Posted 22 days ago
the future,” I suspect those people would be grateful for any help they can get to go into the future. But according to Nate Silver at 538 they aren’t Trump voters. His voters are white but they are not members of the working class, at least not... Read more
22d
FOX Business
Pithy Wisdom That Changed How I Think About Investingwhen tomorrow rolls around."-- Dan Gardner "When a possibility is unfamiliar t
Pithy Wisdom That Changed How I Think About Investing
FOX Business / Posted 22 days ago
when tomorrow rolls around."-- Dan Gardner "When a possibility is unfamiliar to us, we do not even think about it."-- Nate Silver "People focus on role models; it is more effective to find antimodels -- people you don't want to resemble when... Read more
22d
FOX Business
Pithy Wisdom That Changed How I Think About Investingwhen tomorrow rolls around."-- Dan Gardner "When a possibility is unfamiliar t
Pithy Wisdom That Changed How I Think About Investing
FOX Business / Posted 22 days ago
when tomorrow rolls around."-- Dan Gardner "When a possibility is unfamiliar to us, we do not even think about it."-- Nate Silver "People focus on role models; it is more effective to find antimodels -- people you don't want to resemble when... Read more
24d
KERA North Texas
Swing-State VP Picks Don't Help Candidates Much. So What Does Work?both overall and in their home states," pointing to several studies over the de
Swing-State VP Picks Don't Help Candidates Much. So What Does Work?
KERA North Texas / Posted 24 days ago
both overall and in their home states," pointing to several studies over the decades. In a 2012 analysis, FiveThirtyEight's Nate Silver found that a VP pick "has produced a net gain of only about two percentage points for the top of the ticket in... Read more
24d
KPBS San Diego
Swing-State VP Picks Don't Help Candidates Much. So What Does Work?both overall and in their home states," pointing to several studies over the de
Swing-State VP Picks Don't Help Candidates Much. So What Does Work?
KPBS San Diego / Posted 24 days ago
both overall and in their home states," pointing to several studies over the decades. In a 2012 analysis, FiveThirtyEight's Nate Silver found that a VP pick "has produced a net gain of only about two percentage points for the top of the ticket in... Read more
24d
The New Yorker
Losers for Trump!stagnate and jobs dry up. But the median Trump voter is actually better educate
Losers for Trump!
The New Yorker / Posted 24 days ago
stagnate and jobs dry up. But the median Trump voter is actually better educated and richer than the average American, as Nate Silver recently pointed out. A key point of Kahneman and Tversky’s work, though, is that people don’t look at their... Read more
25d
Rutland Herald
Feel the maththat the race is effectively over isn�t somehow aiding a nefarious plot to shut
Feel the math
Rutland Herald / Posted 25 days ago
that the race is effectively over isn�t somehow aiding a nefarious plot to shut it down by prematurely declaring victory. Nate Silver recently summed it up: �Clinton �strategy� is to persuade more �people� to �vote� for her, hence producing... Read more
25d
Australian Broadcasting Corporation
Can the Socceroos become world beaters under Postecoglou?stacked against them. In a fascinating analysis of Sepp Blatter's legacy as FI
Can the Socceroos become world beaters under Postecoglou?
Australian Broadcasting Corporation / Posted 25 days ago
stacked against them. In a fascinating analysis of Sepp Blatter's legacy as FIFA president, statistician and sports writer Nate Silver found that Europe and South America had fastened its grip on the game during his time in office. Despite FIFA... Read more
26d
The Irish Times
Paul Krugman: Do the math, but unfortunately most voters seem unable tothat the race is effectively over isn’t somehow aiding a nefarious plot to shut
Paul Krugman: Do the math, but unfortunately most voters seem unable to
The Irish Times / Posted 26 days ago
that the race is effectively over isn’t somehow aiding a nefarious plot to shut it down by prematurely declaring victory. Nate Silver recently summed it up: “Clinton ‘strategy’ is to persuade more ‘people’ to ‘vote’ for her, hence producing... Read more
26d
Business Standard India
What we need in marketing today is more explorers than warriors: Suman Srivastavait is an art. What we need in marketing is more explorers rather than warriors.
What we need in marketing today is more explorers than warriors: Suman Srivastava
Business Standard India / Posted 26 days ago
it is an art. What we need in marketing is more explorers rather than warriors. The biggest guru of data is a guy called Nate Silver. In his book The Signal And The Noise, he says that if you think big data is going to give you some theory, some... Read more
29d
Salon.com
An entire class of Americans misunderstood and rejected: Dismissing poor white workers is profoundly reactionarydoomed socio-political backwater, the white working class is everywhere and now
An entire class of Americans misunderstood and rejected: Dismissing poor white workers is profoundly reactionary
Salon.com / Posted 29 days ago
doomed socio-political backwater, the white working class is everywhere and nowhere at all. At FiveThirtyEight, Nate Silver contends that Trump’s supporters are not, in fact, working class. According to his May 3 story, “the median... Read more
29d
The Huffington Post
It's Time To Change The Way We Think About Political Pollingconducted with appropriate care and rigor, rather than which ones are done by p
It's Time To Change The Way We Think About Political Polling
The Huffington Post / Posted 29 days ago
conducted with appropriate care and rigor, rather than which ones are done by phone and which online. Quality matters, as Nate Silver demonstrates in his own pollster ratings -- which depend, in large part, on a pollster’s long-term accuracy. The... Read more
30d
Sherdog
A Perfect Man to Mosh for Trumpit was 38 percent of college grads and a massive 36 percent of those with postg
A Perfect Man to Mosh for Trump
Sherdog / Posted 30 days ago
it was 38 percent of college grads and a massive 36 percent of those with postgraduate degrees. Finally, the likes of Nate Silver and Co. have gotten around to poking another hole in the theory, as it turns out the median income of a Trump... Read more

People in this news