Nate Silver

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1h
Quartz
How Donald Trump punked America by manipulating our obsession with useless pollsas well as the current events that prompt these changes. Of course, the nation
How Donald Trump punked America by manipulating our obsession with useless polls
Quartz / Posted an hour ago
as well as the current events that prompt these changes. Of course, the national obsession with polls is not new: Nate Silver, a statistics wonk, became a pop icon after predicting president Barack Obama’s 2008 victory. But this national... Read more
1h
Namibia Economist
Bridging the torrentis at best level-pegging with Mr Trump, having forfeited a seven-point lead in
Bridging the torrent
Namibia Economist / Posted an hour ago
is at best level-pegging with Mr Trump, having forfeited a seven-point lead in the past month. According to calculations by Nate Silver, a respected number-cruncher, Mrs Clinton currently has only a 53% chance of winning in November. In other words,... Read more
4845 related stories
3h
The New Statesman
Jeremy Corbyn fans are getting extremely angry at the wrong Michael Fosterare calling Trump’s keynote his “Midnight in America” speech. Just before the D
Jeremy Corbyn fans are getting extremely angry at the wrong Michael Foster
The New Statesman / Posted 3 hours ago
are calling Trump’s keynote his “Midnight in America” speech. Just before the Democrats convened, analyst par excellence Nate Silver and his site, 538.com, forecast Trump’s chance of victory over Clinton in November at above 50 per cent for the... Read more
7h
The New Statesman
Can the disciplined Democrats defeat Trump’s maelstrom of chaos?are calling Trump’s keynote his “Midnight in America” speech. Just before the D
Can the disciplined Democrats defeat Trump’s maelstrom of chaos?
The New Statesman / Posted 7 hours ago
are calling Trump’s keynote his “Midnight in America” speech. Just before the Democrats convened, analyst par excellence Nate Silver and his site, 538.com, forecast Trump’s chance of victory over Clinton in November at above 50 per cent for the... Read more
9h
The Economic Times
Donald Trump's vote bank: Angry white males with no college degreespolls show Donald Trump is almost even, and in some cases leading Hillary Clint
Donald Trump's vote bank: Angry white males with no college degrees
The Economic Times / Posted 9 hours ago
polls show Donald Trump is almost even, and in some cases leading Hillary Clinton in the presidential race. Statistician Nate Silver now puts Trump's chances of winning the election if it were held today at 57.5% compared to 20% just a few weeks... Read more
12h
The Economic Times
How Donald Trump is banking on angry white males with no college degreespolls show Donald Trump is almost even, and in some cases leading Hillary Clint
How Donald Trump is banking on angry white males with no college degrees
The Economic Times / Posted 12 hours ago
polls show Donald Trump is almost even, and in some cases leading Hillary Clinton in the presidential race. Statistician Nate Silver now puts Trump's chances of winning the election if it were held today at 57.5% compared to 20% just a few weeks... Read more
21h
New Zealand's National Business Review
Trump encourages Russian hackers to release Clinton emailssink the career of many a politician; the latest poll in the US has Mr Trump se
Trump encourages Russian hackers to release Clinton emails
New Zealand's National Business Review / Posted 21 hours ago
sink the career of many a politician; the latest poll in the US has Mr Trump seven points ahead (though uber statistician Nate Silver still has Mrs Clinton in front in his Electoral College modelling). For a many in a disgruntled electorate, the... Read more
23 related stories
1d
Gawker
Don't Listen to Nate Silver, Listen to MeLots of smart people are anxiously sharing links to Nate Silver’s 2016 Election
Don't Listen to Nate Silver, Listen to Me
Gawker / Posted yesterday
Lots of smart people are anxiously sharing links to Nate Silver’s 2016 Election Forecast on their social media profiles, largely because, one assumes, they are beginning to realize the implications of the fact that there is an actual presidential... Read more
1d
FOX News
Did Trump get a bump? Follow the media's bouncing ballas party chair. Of course, the Democrats could paper this over with strong spe
Did Trump get a bump? Follow the media's bouncing ball
FOX News / Posted yesterday
as party chair. Of course, the Democrats could paper this over with strong speeches and Clinton could get her own bump. Nate Silver, the 538 data guru who famously said Trump had virtually no chance to win the nomination--he says he wasn’t... Read more
3 related stories
2d
The Hill
California governor: Clinton should be worriedin the wake of several polls showing Trump getting a strong bump after the GOP
California governor: Clinton should be worried
The Hill / Posted 2 days ago
in the wake of several polls showing Trump getting a strong bump after the GOP convention in Cleveland. Political analyst Nate Silver, who correctly forecast the 2012 presidential election, now gives Clinton a 53.2 percent chance of winning and... Read more
2d
New York Magazine
Today Is a Confusing Day for the Democratic Party, But a Great Day for Philadelphia Sign Printersis all a bit scary. A series of major polls released yesterday showed Clinton’s
Today Is a Confusing Day for the Democratic Party, But a Great Day for Philadelphia Sign Printers
New York Magazine / Posted 2 days ago
is all a bit scary. A series of major polls released yesterday showed Clinton’s long-time lead shrink to almost nothing. Nate Silver even briefly had Trump projected to win the White House with a 56.7 percent chance of becoming the president —... Read more
2d
Business Insider
STATS: This is how Donald Trump beats Hillary ClintonTwo new polls give Trump a lead over Clinton. Nate Silver "Now-cast" data: Tru
STATS: This is how Donald Trump beats Hillary Clinton
Business Insider / Posted 2 days ago
Two new polls give Trump a lead over Clinton. Nate Silver "Now-cast" data: Trump 53.8% / Clinton 46.2%. The closer we get to November, the more it looks like Donald Trump actually has a shot at beating Hillary Clinton. A CNN/ORC poll just gave... Read more
2d
San Antonio Express-News
Democratic Convention speakers try to tame Sanders supportersgetting booed off the convention stage. Quietly, some Clinton supporters worri
Democratic Convention speakers try to tame Sanders supporters
San Antonio Express-News / Posted 2 days ago
getting booed off the convention stage. Quietly, some Clinton supporters worried about an analysis Monday by statistician Nate Silver of FiveThirtyEight.com, who correctly predicted each state’s result in the 2012 election. Silver said Trump got a... Read more
3 related stories
2d
Boston Herald
First Lady’s saving graceCNN poll, and a 4-point lead in a poll conducted by the Economist. FiveThirtyE
First Lady’s saving grace
Boston Herald / Posted 2 days ago
CNN poll, and a 4-point lead in a poll conducted by the Economist. FiveThirtyEight, the popular poll created by analyst Nate Silver, ​reported that if the election had been held yesterday, Trump would defeat Clinton and take home 278 Electoral... Read more
4845 related stories
2d
Slate
Climate Voters Finally Matter. Can Clinton Convince Them?it—the kind of language Sanders used throughout his campaign. According to the
Climate Voters Finally Matter. Can Clinton Convince Them?
Slate / Posted 2 days ago
it—the kind of language Sanders used throughout his campaign. According to the latest numbers from FiveThirtyEight’s Nate Silver, if the election were held today, Trump would likely win. Hillary needs to assuage Bernie backers’ fears, and... Read more
4845 related stories
2d
Northern Star
Donald Trump beating Hillary Clinton in latest pollsbefore ultimately taking their fight for the White House all the way to the Sup
Donald Trump beating Hillary Clinton in latest polls
Northern Star / Posted 2 days ago
before ultimately taking their fight for the White House all the way to the Supreme Court. Meanwhile, pollstern Nate Silver also said he had detected a post-convention boost for Mr Trump. Mr Trump now leads Ms Clinton, 57.5 to 42.5 per... Read more
6 related stories
2d
The Daily Mercury
Donald Trump beating Hillary Clinton in latest pollsbefore ultimately taking their fight for the White House all the way to the Sup
Donald Trump beating Hillary Clinton in latest polls
The Daily Mercury / Posted 2 days ago
before ultimately taking their fight for the White House all the way to the Supreme Court. Meanwhile, pollstern Nate Silver also said he had detected a post-convention boost for Mr Trump. Mr Trump now leads Ms Clinton, 57.5 to 42.5 per... Read more
6 related stories
2d
Toowoomba Chronicle
Donald Trump beating Hillary Clinton in latest pollsbefore ultimately taking their fight for the White House all the way to the Sup
Donald Trump beating Hillary Clinton in latest polls
Toowoomba Chronicle / Posted 2 days ago
before ultimately taking their fight for the White House all the way to the Supreme Court. Meanwhile, pollstern Nate Silver also said he had detected a post-convention boost for Mr Trump. Mr Trump now leads Ms Clinton, 57.5 to 42.5 per... Read more
6 related stories
2d
The Washington Times
Danger zone: The pro-Clinton medialike you’re covering Donald Trump. Nothing more, nothing less.” EYE-OPENER NUM
Danger zone: The pro-Clinton media
The Washington Times / Posted 2 days ago
like you’re covering Donald Trump. Nothing more, nothing less.” EYE-OPENER NUMBERS “Who will win the presidency?” asks Nate Silver, founder of the meticulous FiveThirtyEight election blog, where the “Now-cast” constantly gauges voter sentiment.... Read more
2d
Queensland Times
Donald Trump beating Hillary Clinton in latest pollsbefore ultimately taking their fight for the White House all the way to the Sup
Donald Trump beating Hillary Clinton in latest polls
Queensland Times / Posted 2 days ago
before ultimately taking their fight for the White House all the way to the Supreme Court. Meanwhile, pollstern Nate Silver also said he had detected a post-convention boost for Mr Trump. Mr Trump now leads Ms Clinton, 57.5 to 42.5 per... Read more
6 related stories
2d
The Morning Bulletin
Donald Trump beating Hillary Clinton in latest pollsbefore ultimately taking their fight for the White House all the way to the Sup
Donald Trump beating Hillary Clinton in latest polls
The Morning Bulletin / Posted 2 days ago
before ultimately taking their fight for the White House all the way to the Supreme Court. Meanwhile, pollstern Nate Silver also said he had detected a post-convention boost for Mr Trump. Mr Trump now leads Ms Clinton, 57.5 to 42.5 per... Read more
6 related stories
2d
News Mail
Donald Trump beating Hillary Clinton in latest pollsbefore ultimately taking their fight for the White House all the way to the Sup
Donald Trump beating Hillary Clinton in latest polls
News Mail / Posted 2 days ago
before ultimately taking their fight for the White House all the way to the Supreme Court. Meanwhile, pollstern Nate Silver also said he had detected a post-convention boost for Mr Trump. Mr Trump now leads Ms Clinton, 57.5 to 42.5 per... Read more
6 related stories
2d
Daily Examiner
Donald Trump beating Hillary Clinton in latest pollsbefore ultimately taking their fight for the White House all the way to the Sup
Donald Trump beating Hillary Clinton in latest polls
Daily Examiner / Posted 2 days ago
before ultimately taking their fight for the White House all the way to the Supreme Court. Meanwhile, pollstern Nate Silver also said he had detected a post-convention boost for Mr Trump. Mr Trump now leads Ms Clinton, 57.5 to 42.5 per... Read more
6 related stories
2d
AdWeek
Infographic: How Trump and Clinton Stack Up on Facebook and TwitterJill Stein. In a head-to-head matchup, CNN's poll showed Trump winning 48 perce
Infographic: How Trump and Clinton Stack Up on Facebook and Twitter
AdWeek / Posted 2 days ago
Jill Stein. In a head-to-head matchup, CNN's poll showed Trump winning 48 percent to 45 percent. In a separate analysis, political analyst Nate Silver said Trump had a 57 percent chance of winning. Here are some more stats from 4C'... Read more
2d
The New Zealand Herald
Yes, of course Donald Trump can winor deadly?Cartoon: Dispirited David Cameron leaves No.10 Downing StreetP lab fo
Yes, of course Donald Trump can win
The New Zealand Herald / Posted 2 days ago
or deadly?Cartoon: Dispirited David Cameron leaves No.10 Downing StreetP lab found in Northland holiday home And, 538's Nate Silver latest "nowcast" - what would happen if the election were held today - gives Trump an edge as of today. How can... Read more
3d
The Hill
The Hill's 12:30 ReportSchultz booed off stage | Heavyweight Monday lineup with Sanders, first lady |
The Hill's 12:30 Report
The Hill / Posted 3 days ago
Schultz booed off stage | Heavyweight Monday lineup with Sanders, first lady | Sanders delegates weigh Kaine challenge | Nate Silver: Trump would win today Happy Monday from Philadelphia! Filing from The Hill's hotel, which doubles as an indoor... Read more
3d
Chicago Tribune
Yes, Donald Trump could winnominee. And, it's not just those two surveys. The broad trend in polling sugge
Yes, Donald Trump could win
Chicago Tribune / Posted 3 days ago
nominee. And, it's not just those two surveys. The broad trend in polling suggests a tightening contest. And, 538's Nate Silver latest "nowcast" — what would happen if the election were held today — gives Trump an edge as of today. How can... Read more
3d
The Hill
Trump overtakes Clinton in RCP poll averagerivals had dropped their presidential bids and Trump had started to pivot towar
Trump overtakes Clinton in RCP poll average
The Hill / Posted 3 days ago
rivals had dropped their presidential bids and Trump had started to pivot toward the general election. Statistician Nate Silver also said Monday that Trump would be favored to win the general election if it happened today. According to... Read more
3 related stories
3d
Business Insider
NATE SILVER: Donald Trump would most likely win the election if it was held todayIf the election were held Monday, Donald Trump would likely win. That's what r
NATE SILVER: Donald Trump would most likely win the election if it was held today
Business Insider / Posted 3 days ago
If the election were held Monday, Donald Trump would likely win. That's what renowned statistician Nate Silver projected on Monday for his data journalism outlet FiveThirtyEight. In his "Now-cast" election model for who would win if ballots were... Read more
3 related stories
4d
The Journal-Standard
Rick Holmes: Trump’s convention at mid-point: Other than the demagoguery, kind of dullabrogate trade agreements and protect entitlements, for instance, all of which
Rick Holmes: Trump’s convention at mid-point: Other than the demagoguery, kind of dull
The Journal-Standard / Posted 4 days ago
abrogate trade agreements and protect entitlements, for instance, all of which Ryan opposes. Page 2 of 2 - Blogger Nate Silver totaled up the words used by speakers on the night supposedly devoted to economic issues. “Work” came in 10th,... Read more
4d
Arkansas Times
As the election turns...dropped out of the race. Trump's trouble in Romney country American nightmare
As the election turns...
Arkansas Times / Posted 4 days ago
dropped out of the race. Trump's trouble in Romney country American nightmare Don't think people are really grasping how plausible it is that Trump could become president. It's a close election right now.— Nate Silver (@NateSilver538) July 23, 2... Read more
5d
Fortune
These 3 Charts Show Why Donald Trump Will Lose in Novemberthan when Barack Obama was reelected four years ago.Manufacturing Looks Strong
These 3 Charts Show Why Donald Trump Will Lose in November
Fortune / Posted 5 days ago
than when Barack Obama was reelected four years ago.Manufacturing Looks Strong Back in 2011, blogger and statistician Nate Silver published a study on which economic indicators correlate strongly with presidential election outcomes. His... Read more
6d
The Hill
Don't expect much of a post-convention bounce for Trump or Clintonextent. ADVERTISEMENT This can actually be more of a problem now than in the
Don't expect much of a post-convention bounce for Trump or Clinton
The Hill / Posted 6 days ago
extent. ADVERTISEMENT This can actually be more of a problem now than in the past because the data aggregators like Nate Silver or HuffPollster are using statistical models to estimate the relative standing of the candidates, based partially... Read more
10d
Zero Hedge
The 'BLM' Paradox - Black Accountability Mattersmore false negatives. Let’s start by dissecting some headlines recently by bot
The 'BLM' Paradox - Black Accountability Matters
Zero Hedge / Posted 10 days ago
more false negatives. Let’s start by dissecting some headlines recently by both Former Mayor Giuliani, and also blogger Nate Silver. Both have made slightly different points, though both are factual in some sense, one is generally closer aligned... Read more
10d
Arkansas Democrat-Gazette
For Little Rock police, residency rule floated againOrleans; Jackson, Miss.; Cincinnati; Boston; Pittsburgh; Philadelphia, and Chic
For Little Rock police, residency rule floated again
Arkansas Democrat-Gazette / Posted 10 days ago
Orleans; Jackson, Miss.; Cincinnati; Boston; Pittsburgh; Philadelphia, and Chicago. FiveThirtyEight, led by statistician Nate Silver, compiles or creates data to report on a variety of topics usually related to political news. In speaking last... Read more
8 related stories
10d
Newsweek
Donald Trump can win. ReallyThere’s a good chance you’ve heard of Nate Silver. After getting his B.A. in ec
Donald Trump can win. Really
Newsweek / Posted 10 days ago
There’s a good chance you’ve heard of Nate Silver. After getting his B.A. in economics at the University of Chicago in 2000, Silver took a job as an economic consultant with KPMG, the consulting company, but quit after a couple of years and made good... Read more
10d
Breitbart
Trump Pulls to 266-272 Virtual Electoral Tie Todayturnaround for Trump in less than a month. In 2012, we looked at “garbage-in,
Trump Pulls to 266-272 Virtual Electoral Tie Today
Breitbart / Posted 10 days ago
turnaround for Trump in less than a month. In 2012, we looked at “garbage-in, garbage-out” landline public polls and Nate Silver and the betting markets seemed to have the results down. “It is an article of faith among economists that betting... Read more
10d
Arkansas Democrat-Gazette
For LR police, residency rule floated againOrleans; Jackson, Miss.; Cincinnati; Boston; Pittsburgh; Philadelphia, and Chic
For LR police, residency rule floated again
Arkansas Democrat-Gazette / Posted 10 days ago
Orleans; Jackson, Miss.; Cincinnati; Boston; Pittsburgh; Philadelphia, and Chicago. FiveThirtyEight, led by statistician Nate Silver, compiles or creates data to report on a variety of topics usually related to political news. In speaking last... Read more
8 related stories
10d
The New Yorker
The Libertarians’ Secret WeaponStill, Miller added that at this point he was inclined to vote for Johnson. As
The Libertarians’ Secret Weapon
The New Yorker / Posted 10 days ago
Still, Miller added that at this point he was inclined to vote for Johnson. As Johnson and I finished talking in Pasadena, Nate Silver, who runs the data-journalism and election-forecasting site FiveThirtyEight, and a team of his reporters entered... Read more
11d
Roll Call
Trump's Success Exposes the Limits of Nate Silver's PredictionsAs of this week, Nate Silver — FiveThirtyEight founder, political prognosticato
Trump's Success Exposes the Limits of Nate Silver's Predictions
Roll Call / Posted 11 days ago
As of this week, Nate Silver — FiveThirtyEight founder, political prognosticator, and wunderkind — is giving Donald Trump just a 25 percent chance of defeating Hillary Clinton in November . I’m considering putting a few benjamins down on... Read more
11d
Morningstar
Start a New Chapter With These Summer Reading Suggestionsfor a summer read. Armagh36 is rereading The Signal and the Noise: Why So Many
Start a New Chapter With These Summer Reading Suggestions
Morningstar / Posted 11 days ago
for a summer read. Armagh36 is rereading The Signal and the Noise: Why So Many Predictions Fail--but Some Don't by Nate Silver. This reader says Silver's book is a helpful reminder "how to identify and avoid the 'noise' affecting investment... Read more
12d
Raw Story
The GOP convention shows Republican rhetoric about guns is utter bullsh*tNRA dollars—they may be willing to sacrifice the 33,000 Americans a year who di
The GOP convention shows Republican rhetoric about guns is utter bullsh*t
Raw Story / Posted 12 days ago
NRA dollars—they may be willing to sacrifice the 33,000 Americans a year who die from guns (interactive graphic here from Nate Silver), but they’re too hypocritical to actually put their own bodies on the line. Confronted with the prospect of... Read more
13d
USA Today
Clinton, Trump agree we’re at ‘war’ after Nice attacktied at 40%. Clinton led by 6 percentage points in the same poll a month earlie
Clinton, Trump agree we’re at ‘war’ after Nice attack
USA Today / Posted 13 days ago
tied at 40%. Clinton led by 6 percentage points in the same poll a month earlier. Over at FiveThirtyEight, stats guru Nate Silver has Clinton’s shot of winning at 66%, with Trump’s at 34%.More from the campaign trail Read or Share this story:... Read more
18 related stories
13d
WWL-TV, Channel 4 New Orleans
Clinton, Trump agree we’re at ‘war’ after Nice attackThursday showed Clinton and Trump tied at 40%. Clinton led by 6 percentage poin
Clinton, Trump agree we’re at ‘war’ after Nice attack
WWL-TV, Channel 4 New Orleans / Posted 13 days ago
Thursday showed Clinton and Trump tied at 40%. Clinton led by 6 percentage points in the same poll a month earlier. Over at FiveThirtyEight, stats guru Nate Silver has Clinton’s shot of winning at 66%, with Trump’s at 34%.More from the campaign tr... Read more
18 related stories
13d
KTHV Little Rock
Clinton, Trump agree we’re at ‘war’ after Nice attackThursday showed Clinton and Trump tied at 40%. Clinton led by 6 percentage poin
Clinton, Trump agree we’re at ‘war’ after Nice attack
KTHV Little Rock / Posted 13 days ago
Thursday showed Clinton and Trump tied at 40%. Clinton led by 6 percentage points in the same poll a month earlier. Over at FiveThirtyEight, stats guru Nate Silver has Clinton’s shot of winning at 66%, with Trump’s at 34%.More from the campaign tr... Read more
18 related stories
13d
KTVB Boise
Clinton, Trump agree we’re at ‘war’ after Nice attackThursday showed Clinton and Trump tied at 40%. Clinton led by 6 percentage poin
Clinton, Trump agree we’re at ‘war’ after Nice attack
KTVB Boise / Posted 13 days ago
Thursday showed Clinton and Trump tied at 40%. Clinton led by 6 percentage points in the same poll a month earlier. Over at FiveThirtyEight, stats guru Nate Silver has Clinton’s shot of winning at 66%, with Trump’s at 34%.More from the campaign tr... Read more
18 related stories
13d
WGRZ-TV Buffalo
Clinton, Trump agree we’re at ‘war’ after Nice attackThursday showed Clinton and Trump tied at 40%. Clinton led by 6 percentage poin
Clinton, Trump agree we’re at ‘war’ after Nice attack
WGRZ-TV Buffalo / Posted 13 days ago
Thursday showed Clinton and Trump tied at 40%. Clinton led by 6 percentage points in the same poll a month earlier. Over at FiveThirtyEight, stats guru Nate Silver has Clinton’s shot of winning at 66%, with Trump’s at 34%.More from the campaign tr... Read more
18 related stories
13d
WCSH 6 Portland
Clinton, Trump agree we’re at ‘war’ after Nice attackThursday showed Clinton and Trump tied at 40%. Clinton led by 6 percentage poin
Clinton, Trump agree we’re at ‘war’ after Nice attack
WCSH 6 Portland / Posted 13 days ago
Thursday showed Clinton and Trump tied at 40%. Clinton led by 6 percentage points in the same poll a month earlier. Over at FiveThirtyEight, stats guru Nate Silver has Clinton’s shot of winning at 66%, with Trump’s at 34%.More from the campaign tr... Read more
18 related stories
13d
WXIA-TV Atlanta
Clinton, Trump agree we’re at ‘war’ after Nice attackThursday showed Clinton and Trump tied at 40%. Clinton led by 6 percentage poin
Clinton, Trump agree we’re at ‘war’ after Nice attack
WXIA-TV Atlanta / Posted 13 days ago
Thursday showed Clinton and Trump tied at 40%. Clinton led by 6 percentage points in the same poll a month earlier. Over at FiveThirtyEight, stats guru Nate Silver has Clinton’s shot of winning at 66%, with Trump’s at 34%.More from the campaign tr... Read more
18 related stories
13d
WTSP-TV Tampa
Clinton, Trump agree we’re at ‘war’ after Nice attackThursday showed Clinton and Trump tied at 40%. Clinton led by 6 percentage poin
Clinton, Trump agree we’re at ‘war’ after Nice attack
WTSP-TV Tampa / Posted 13 days ago
Thursday showed Clinton and Trump tied at 40%. Clinton led by 6 percentage points in the same poll a month earlier. Over at FiveThirtyEight, stats guru Nate Silver has Clinton’s shot of winning at 66%, with Trump’s at 34%.More from the campaign tr... Read more
18 related stories
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