Capital Economics

Latest articles

1h
express
Pound RISES ahead of Theresa May's Brexit Florence speech- could go higherinterest rates in November remains strong after sale jumped by one per cent las
express / Posted an hour ago
interest rates in November remains strong after sale jumped by one per cent last month. Ruth Gregory, UK economist at Capital Economics, said: "A modest pick-up in household spending should help the economy to re-accelerate a little ahead and... Read more
2h
Australian Broadcasting Corporation
Real estate up to 30pc overvalued in Sydney, Melbourne: economistto a leading economist, but he only expects a 10 per cent fall. Key points: T
Australian Broadcasting Corporation / Posted 2 hours ago
to a leading economist, but he only expects a 10 per cent fall. Key points: To come to that conclusion, Paul Dales from Capital Economics has done the numbers on what houses should be worth. Many analysts look at house price to income ratios to... Read more
6h
Australian Broadcasting Corporation
Aussie dollar strength is mainly US dollar weaknessAustralian dollar hasn't responded to this retreat and instead held close to tw
Australian Broadcasting Corporation / Posted 6 hours ago
Australian dollar hasn't responded to this retreat and instead held close to two-and-a-half-year highs. Paul Dales from Capital Economics said one key reason has been some positive local data. "The domestic economy has been a bit stronger than... Read more
6h
Sydney Morning Herald
No shock turnaround for markets as US Fed tightens easy moneyFed unwinds its bloated balance sheet. "It's an asymmetric event really," says
Sydney Morning Herald / Posted 6 hours ago
Fed unwinds its bloated balance sheet. "It's an asymmetric event really," says Paul Dales, chief Australian economist at Capital Economics. "The boost to equities and other assets came from a shock and awe from the size of the policy, but you're... Read more
3 related articles
6h
The Age
No shock turnaround for markets as US Fed tightens easy moneyFed unwinds its bloated balance sheet. "It's an asymmetric event really," says
The Age / Posted 6 hours ago
Fed unwinds its bloated balance sheet. "It's an asymmetric event really," says Paul Dales, chief Australian economist at Capital Economics. "The boost to equities and other assets came from a shock and awe from the size of the policy, but you're... Read more
3 related articles
6h
Bangkok Post - Thailand's English news
Japanese exports surge on global demandsuggesting that net trade should have started to support growth in the third qu
Bangkok Post - Thailand's English news / Posted 6 hours ago
suggesting that net trade should have started to support growth in the third quarter, Marcel Thieliant, Japan economist at Capital Economics, said in a research note. A pickup in shipments of cars, car parts, and semiconductor manufacturing... Read more
3 related articles
8h
EuroNews
Japan exports surge at fastest in nearly four years on global demandsuggesting that net trade should have started to support growth in the third qu
EuroNews / Posted 8 hours ago
suggesting that net trade should have started to support growth in the third quarter, Marcel Thieliant, Japan economist at Capital Economics, said in a research note. A pickup in shipments of cars, car parts, and semiconductor manufacturing... Read more
3 related articles
9h
The Age
Market pricing in two RBA rate hikes over the next yearFed unwinds its bloated balance sheet. "It's an asymmetric event really," says
The Age / Posted 9 hours ago
Fed unwinds its bloated balance sheet. "It's an asymmetric event really," says Paul Dales, chief Australian economist at Capital Economics. "The boost to equities and other assets came from a shock and awe from the size of the policy, but you're... Read more
3 related articles
9h
Sydney Morning Herald
Market pricing in two RBA rate hikes over the next yearFed unwinds its bloated balance sheet. "It's an asymmetric event really," says
Sydney Morning Herald / Posted 9 hours ago
Fed unwinds its bloated balance sheet. "It's an asymmetric event really," says Paul Dales, chief Australian economist at Capital Economics. "The boost to equities and other assets came from a shock and awe from the size of the policy, but you're... Read more
3 related articles
12h
Adelaide Now
Gold prices rise as greenback retreatsyou would expect gold to suffer from a reduction of the balance sheet, as it be
Adelaide Now / Posted 12 hours ago
you would expect gold to suffer from a reduction of the balance sheet, as it benefited when it was increased," Capital Economics analyst Simona Gambarini said. "But as the Fed has been quite open about its intentions to make this... Read more
2 related articles
12h
Herald Sun
Gold prices rise as greenback retreatsyou would expect gold to suffer from a reduction of the balance sheet, as it be
Herald Sun / Posted 12 hours ago
you would expect gold to suffer from a reduction of the balance sheet, as it benefited when it was increased," Capital Economics analyst Simona Gambarini said. "But as the Fed has been quite open about its intentions to make this... Read more
2 related articles
12h
The Courier Mail
Gold prices rise as greenback retreatsyou would expect gold to suffer from a reduction of the balance sheet, as it be
The Courier Mail / Posted 12 hours ago
you would expect gold to suffer from a reduction of the balance sheet, as it benefited when it was increased," Capital Economics analyst Simona Gambarini said. "But as the Fed has been quite open about its intentions to make this... Read more
2 related articles
17h
Canberra Times
A coffee a year: How much Australian incomes have grown since 2008 Sydney. "Other forward-looking indicators suggest that by this time next year
Canberra Times / Posted 17 hours ago
Sydney. "Other forward-looking indicators suggest that by this time next year house prices won't be rising at all," said Capital Economics chief economist Paul Dales. Mr Dales said the loss of momentum "was particularly marked in Sydney," where... Read more
14 related articles
19h
Reuters
Russia retail sales up 1.9 percent year-year in August, more than expectedhas been supported by falling inflation, which has reduced the squeeze on house
Reuters / Posted 19 hours ago
has been supported by falling inflation, which has reduced the squeeze on households’ purchasing power,” analysts at Capital Economics said on a report. Last Friday the Russian Central Bank increased its forecast for growth in gross domestic... Read more
20h
Manning River Times
Australian wage growth only enough for a coffee a yearSydney. "Other forward-looking indicators suggest that by this time next year
Manning River Times / Posted 20 hours ago
Sydney. "Other forward-looking indicators suggest that by this time next year house prices won't be rising at all," said Capital Economics chief economist Paul Dales. Mr Dales said the loss of momentum "was particularly marked in Sydney," where... Read more
14 related articles
1d
EuroNews
German investors more upbeat than expected in Septemberfall short of a clear majority and it remains unclear which smaller parties Mer
EuroNews / Posted yesterday
fall short of a clear majority and it remains unclear which smaller parties Merkel will start coalition negotiations with. Capital Economics analyst Stephen Brown said the surprisingly solid rise in German investor sentiment suggested the economy... Read more
1d
Reuters
German investors more upbeat than expected in Septemberfall short of a clear majority and it remains unclear which smaller parties Mer
Reuters / Posted yesterday
fall short of a clear majority and it remains unclear which smaller parties Merkel will start coalition negotiations with. Capital Economics analyst Stephen Brown said the surprisingly solid rise in German investor sentiment suggested the economy... Read more
1d
Sydney Morning Herald
A coffee a year: How much Australian incomes have grown since 2008 Sydney. "Other forward-looking indicators suggest that by this time next year
Sydney Morning Herald / Posted yesterday
Sydney. "Other forward-looking indicators suggest that by this time next year house prices won't be rising at all," said Capital Economics chief economist Paul Dales. Mr Dales said the loss of momentum "was particularly marked in Sydney," where... Read more
14 related articles
1d
The Age
A coffee a year: How much Australian incomes have grown since 2008 Sydney. "Other forward-looking indicators suggest that by this time next year
The Age / Posted yesterday
Sydney. "Other forward-looking indicators suggest that by this time next year house prices won't be rising at all," said Capital Economics chief economist Paul Dales. Mr Dales said the loss of momentum "was particularly marked in Sydney," where... Read more
14 related articles
1d
Business Insider Australia
Australian house prices are still climbing at rates that would make most assets blushCoreLogic figures in July and August suggest that national house price inflatio
Business Insider Australia / Posted yesterday
CoreLogic figures in July and August suggest that national house price inflation on the ABS measure has peaked,” said Capital Economics chief economist Paul Dales. “A further easing would be consistent with the recent tightening in credit... Read more
14 related articles
1d
Reuters
Japan must keep fiscal discipline if sales tax revenue used for other purposes: Asobut holding the election now could prevent opposition parties from regrouping a
Reuters / Posted yesterday
but holding the election now could prevent opposition parties from regrouping and gaining strength, some analysts say. Capital Economics said in a research note that if elections were held next month, the sales tax hike would likely take place... Read more
5 related articles
1d
EuroNews
Diplomatic damage to Qatar economy mounts as insurer closes UAE branchties between Qatar and its Gulf neighbours is also damaging economic ties,” sai
EuroNews / Posted yesterday
ties between Qatar and its Gulf neighbours is also damaging economic ties,” said Jason Tuvey, Middle East economist at Capital Economics in London. “The move suggests there is little confidence that relations will improve any time soon, and we... Read more
1d
Market Watch
Oil prices turn lowerall the major agencies revised up their forecasts for demand for this year,” sa
Market Watch / Posted yesterday
all the major agencies revised up their forecasts for demand for this year,” said Tom Pugh, commodities economist at Capital Economics. The prospect that OPEC could extend its production-cut pact beyond March 2018 also supported prices, Pugh... Read more
2d
Morningstar
How Much Longer This Stock-market Bull Run Lasts May Depend On The Fed's Next Movesheet is going to be gradual so as to avoid disrupting markets, said Paul Ashwo
Morningstar / Posted 2 days ago
sheet is going to be gradual so as to avoid disrupting markets, said Paul Ashworth, chief North American economist for Capital Economics. The plan is to shrink by only $10 billion a month, with the pace increasing by $10 billion every quarter,... Read more
2d
KEYT 3 Santa Barbara
Three things to watch at this week's Federal Reserve meetinga move before year-end as little more than a coin toss and other recent develop
KEYT 3 Santa Barbara / Posted 2 days ago
a move before year-end as little more than a coin toss and other recent developments have all but killed the possibility," Capital Economics wrote in a recent note. The other reason the Fed may not raise its fed funds rate this week: Hurricanes... Read more
61 related articles
2d
KRBC Abilene & KTAB Abilene
Three things to watch at this week's Federal Reserve meetinga move before year-end as little more than a coin toss and other recent develop
KRBC Abilene & KTAB Abilene / Posted 2 days ago
a move before year-end as little more than a coin toss and other recent developments have all but killed the possibility," Capital Economics wrote in a recent note. The other reason the Fed may not raise its fed funds rate this week: Hurricanes... Read more
61 related articles
2d
KXLY-TV Spokane
Three things to watch at this week's Federal Reserve meetinga move before year-end as little more than a coin toss and other recent develop
KXLY-TV Spokane / Posted 2 days ago
a move before year-end as little more than a coin toss and other recent developments have all but killed the possibility," Capital Economics wrote in a recent note. The other reason the Fed may not raise its fed funds rate this week: Hurricanes... Read more
61 related articles
2d
WCYB 5 Tri-Cities
Three things to watch at this week's Federal Reserve meetinga move before year-end as little more than a coin toss and other recent develop
WCYB 5 Tri-Cities / Posted 2 days ago
a move before year-end as little more than a coin toss and other recent developments have all but killed the possibility," Capital Economics wrote in a recent note. The other reason the Fed may not raise its fed funds rate this week: Hurricanes... Read more
61 related articles
2d
KRDO Colorado Springs
Three things to watch at this week's Federal Reserve meetinga move before year-end as little more than a coin toss and other recent develop
KRDO Colorado Springs / Posted 2 days ago
a move before year-end as little more than a coin toss and other recent developments have all but killed the possibility," Capital Economics wrote in a recent note. The other reason the Fed may not raise its fed funds rate this week: Hurricanes... Read more
61 related articles
2d
KRCR TV Redding
Three things to watch at this week's Federal Reserve meetinga move before year-end as little more than a coin toss and other recent develop
KRCR TV Redding / Posted 2 days ago
a move before year-end as little more than a coin toss and other recent developments have all but killed the possibility," Capital Economics wrote in a recent note. The other reason the Fed may not raise its fed funds rate this week: Hurricanes... Read more
61 related articles
2d
News Channel 12 New Bern
Three things to watch at this week's Federal Reserve meetinga move before year-end as little more than a coin toss and other recent develop
News Channel 12 New Bern / Posted 2 days ago
a move before year-end as little more than a coin toss and other recent developments have all but killed the possibility," Capital Economics wrote in a recent note. The other reason the Fed may not raise its fed funds rate this week: Hurricanes... Read more
61 related articles
2d
KESQ Palm Springs
Three things to watch at this week's Federal Reserve meetinga move before year-end as little more than a coin toss and other recent develop
KESQ Palm Springs / Posted 2 days ago
a move before year-end as little more than a coin toss and other recent developments have all but killed the possibility," Capital Economics wrote in a recent note. The other reason the Fed may not raise its fed funds rate this week: Hurricanes... Read more
61 related articles
2d
ABC 7 El Paso
Three things to watch at this week's Federal Reserve meetinga move before year-end as little more than a coin toss and other recent develop
ABC 7 El Paso / Posted 2 days ago
a move before year-end as little more than a coin toss and other recent developments have all but killed the possibility," Capital Economics wrote in a recent note. The other reason the Fed may not raise its fed funds rate this week: Hurricanes... Read more
61 related articles
2d
News 8000
Three things to watch at this week's Federal Reserve meetinga move before year-end as little more than a coin toss and other recent develop
News 8000 / Posted 2 days ago
a move before year-end as little more than a coin toss and other recent developments have all but killed the possibility," Capital Economics wrote in a recent note. The other reason the Fed may not raise its fed funds rate this week: Hurricanes... Read more
61 related articles
2d
Market Watch
How much longer this stock-market bull run lasts may depend on the Fed’s next movesheet is going to be gradual so as to avoid disrupting markets, said Paul Ashwo
Market Watch / Posted 2 days ago
sheet is going to be gradual so as to avoid disrupting markets, said Paul Ashworth, chief North American economist for Capital Economics. The plan is to shrink by only $10 billion a month, with the pace increasing by $10 billion every quarter,... Read more
2d
KTXS Abilene
Three things to watch at Janet Yellen's Fed meetinga move before year-end as little more than a coin toss and other recent develop
KTXS Abilene / Posted 2 days ago
a move before year-end as little more than a coin toss and other recent developments have all but killed the possibility," Capital Economics wrote in a recent note. The other reason the Fed may not raise its fed funds rate this week: Hurricanes... Read more
61 related articles
2d
KECI Missoula
Three things to watch at Janet Yellen's Fed meetinga move before year-end as little more than a coin toss and other recent develop
KECI Missoula / Posted 2 days ago
a move before year-end as little more than a coin toss and other recent developments have all but killed the possibility," Capital Economics wrote in a recent note. The other reason the Fed may not raise its fed funds rate this week: Hurricanes... Read more
61 related articles
2d
WFMZ Eastern Pennsylvania and Western New Jersey
Three things to watch at Janet Yellen's Fed meetinga move before year-end as little more than a coin toss and other recent develop
WFMZ Eastern Pennsylvania and Western New Jersey / Posted 2 days ago
a move before year-end as little more than a coin toss and other recent developments have all but killed the possibility," Capital Economics wrote in a recent note. The other reason the Fed may not raise its fed funds rate this week: Hurricanes... Read more
61 related articles
3d
Scotsman
Bill Jamieson: This is not a bluff: we are at a turning point on interest rateswithdrawal of monetary stimulus was likely to be appropriate over the coming mo
Scotsman / Posted 3 days ago
withdrawal of monetary stimulus was likely to be appropriate over the coming months”. Paul Hollingsworth, UK economist at Capital Economics, said the MPC could increase interest rates in November, “if the economy continues to hold up, and could... Read more
214 related articles
3d
express
Mortgage alert: Interest rates will rise FOUR times by end of 2018, economists forecastthe beginning of a dramatic change in policy and the start of may more rate inc
express / Posted 3 days ago
the beginning of a dramatic change in policy and the start of may more rate increases in 2018, according to forecasts from Capital Economics. Analysts from the firm predict core interest rates will quadruple from the current low of 0.25 per cent... Read more
214 related articles
4d
Arkansas Democrat-Gazette
U.S. retail sales fall by 0.2% in August as auto buying lagssustained downturn and expect retail spending to bounce back over the coming mo
Arkansas Democrat-Gazette / Posted 4 days ago
sustained downturn and expect retail spending to bounce back over the coming months," said Andrew Hunter, U.S. economist at Capital Economics. Sales rose last month at general merchandise stores, a category that includes big-box retailers such as... Read more
23 related articles
4d
Reuters
Iceland PM calls snap election after coalition party quits over 'breach of trust'I couldn’t have written such a letter myself and I will never try to defend tha
Reuters / Posted 4 days ago
I couldn’t have written such a letter myself and I will never try to defend that,” Bendiktsson told a news conference. Capital Economics economist Stephen Brown said a change of government could frustrate plans to overhaul Iceland’s monetary... Read more
3 related articles
4d
Reuters
Iceland may face new election after coalition party quits over 'breach of trust'a political scientist at the University of Iceland. “There is great political u
Reuters / Posted 4 days ago
a political scientist at the University of Iceland. “There is great political uncertainty in Iceland currently.” Capital Economics economist Stephen Brown said a change of government could frustrate plans to overhaul Iceland’s monetary... Read more
3 related articles
4d
Reuters
Russian central bank cuts key rate to 8.5 percent, pledges more cutstoday’s rate cut, the tone of the accompanying statement, as well as Ms. Nabiul
Reuters / Posted 4 days ago
today’s rate cut, the tone of the accompanying statement, as well as Ms. Nabiullina’s press conference, was very cautious,” Capital Economics research firm said in a note. Barclays Capital said it now expects the central bank to cut rates by 25... Read more
4d
Fort Wayne Journal Gazette
US retail sales dipped 0.2 pct. in August as auto sales fellsustained downturn and expect retail spending to bounce back over the coming mo
Fort Wayne Journal Gazette / Posted 4 days ago
sustained downturn and expect retail spending to bounce back over the coming months," said Andrew Hunter, U.S. economist at Capital Economics. Sales rose last month at general merchandise stores, a category that includes big-box retailers such as... Read more
23 related articles
4d
EuroNews
Have investors grown too comfortable with North Korea?on two of them it gave back gains on the day. But are investors getting too com
EuroNews / Posted 4 days ago
on two of them it gave back gains on the day. But are investors getting too comfortable with the status quo? Economists at Capital Economics reckon a conflict of even a few months on the Korean peninsula could wreak havoc not just on South Korea’s... Read more
4d
Greenwich Time
US retail sales dipped 0.2 pct. in August as auto sales fellsustained downturn and expect retail spending to bounce back over the coming mo
Greenwich Time / Posted 4 days ago
sustained downturn and expect retail spending to bounce back over the coming months," said Andrew Hunter, U.S. economist at Capital Economics. Sales rose last month at general merchandise stores, a category that includes big-box retailers such as... Read more
23 related articles
4d
The News-Times
US retail sales dipped 0.2 pct. in August as auto sales fellsustained downturn and expect retail spending to bounce back over the coming mo
The News-Times / Posted 4 days ago
sustained downturn and expect retail spending to bounce back over the coming months," said Andrew Hunter, U.S. economist at Capital Economics. Sales rose last month at general merchandise stores, a category that includes big-box retailers such as... Read more
23 related articles
4d
Reuters
Have investors grown too comfortable with North Korea?on two of them it gave back gains on the day. But are investors getting too co
Reuters / Posted 4 days ago
on two of them it gave back gains on the day. But are investors getting too comfortable with the status quo? Economists at Capital Economics reckon a conflict of even a few months on the Korean peninsula could wreak havoc not just on South Korea’s... Read more
4d
Stamford Advocate
US retail sales dipped 0.2 pct. in August as auto sales fellsustained downturn and expect retail spending to bounce back over the coming mo
Stamford Advocate / Posted 4 days ago
sustained downturn and expect retail spending to bounce back over the coming months," said Andrew Hunter, U.S. economist at Capital Economics. Sales rose last month at general merchandise stores, a category that includes big-box retailers such as... Read more
23 related articles
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